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Improving communication of weather forecast uncertainty: A path forward

Author

Rebecca Morss

2015, Presentation, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13418-improving-communication-weather-forecast-uncertainty-path-forward.pdf

Decider: Visualising a range of possible weather scenarios in the medium range and monthly forecast periods

Author

Robert Neal

David Fereday

Ric Crocker

Ruth Comer

2015, Presentation, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13419-decider-visualising-range-possible-weather-scenarios-medium-range-and-monthly-forecast-periods.pdf

More accuracy with less precision: Recognising the crucial role of uncertainty for developing high-resolution NWP systems

Author

T.N. Palmer

J. Berner

Hannah Christensen

Filip Vána

Krishna Palem

2015, Presentation, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13420-more-accuracy-less-precision-recognising-crucial-role-uncertainty-developing-high-resolution.pdf

On the use of ECMWF products for Civil Protection aims: can deterministic and probaliatic approach cooperate?

Author

Arturo Pucillo

2015, Presentation, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13421-use-ecmwf-products-civil-protection-aims-can-deterministic-and-probaliatic-approach-cooperate.pdf

Annual Report 2014

Author

ECMWF

2015, Report, ECMWF Annual Report

File

16284-annual-report-2014.pdf

ECMWF Financial Statements of Account 2014

Author

ECMWF

2015, Report, ECMWF FSA

File

16510-ecmwf-financial-statements-account-2014.pdf

New developments in the diagnosis and verification of high-impact weather forecasts

Author

Mark Rodwell

Laura Ferranti

Thomas Haiden

L. Magnusson

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

15255-new-developments-diagnosis-and-verification-high-impact-weather-forecasts.pdf

The modelling infrastructure of the Integrated Forecasting System: Recent advances and future challenges

Author

Willem Deconinck

M. Hamrud

S. Malardel

G. Mozdzynski

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

15259-modelling-infrastructure-integrated-forecasting-system-recent-advances-and-future-challenges.pdf

Understanding the ECMWF winter surface temperature biases over Antarctica

Author

Emanuel Dutra

Irina Sandu

Gianpaolo Balsamo

Anton Beljaars

Etienne Vignon

E. Brun

Helene Freville

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

15262-understanding-ecmwf-winter-surface-temperature-biases-over-antarctica.pdf

Convectively coupled Kelvin Waves: From linear theory to global models

Author

M. Herman

Z. Fuchs

D. Raymond

Peter Bechtold

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

15273-convectively-coupled-kelvin-waves-linear-theory-global-models.pdf

Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including 2014-2015 upgrades

Author

Thomas Haiden

Martin Janousek

Peter Bauer

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

15275-evaluation-ecmwf-forecasts-including-2014-2015-upgrades.pdf

Significance of changes in medium-range forecast scores

Author

Alan Geer

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

15287-significance-changes-medium-range-forecast-scores.pdf

Numerical sensitivity of the ECMWF model to Semi-Lagrangian departure point iterations

Author

Michail Diamantakis

L. Magnusson

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

15302-numerical-sensitivity-ecmwf-model-semi-lagrangian-departure-point-iterations.pdf

Diagnosis of northern hemispheric regime behaviour during winter 2013/14

Author

Mark Rodwell

Laura Ferranti

L. Magnusson

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

15305-diagnosis-northern-hemispheric-regime-behaviour-during-winter-201314.pdf

A three-dimensional multivariate modal analysis of atmospheric predictability with application to the ECMWF ensemble

Author

N. Zagar

Roberto Buizza

J. Tribbia

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

15309-three-dimensional-multivariate-modal-analysis-atmospheric-predictability-application-ecmwf.pdf

A lightning parameterization for the ECMWF model

Author

Philippe Lopez

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

15313-lightning-parameterization-ecmwf-model.pdf

Comparison of model land skin temperature with remotely sensed estimates and assessment of surface-atmosphere coupling

Author

I.F. Trigo

Souhail Boussetta

P. Viterbo

Gianpaolo Balsamo

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

15318-comparison-model-land-skin-temperature-remotely-sensed-estimates-and-assessment-surface.pdf

How rare is the Draupner wave event?

Author

Peter Janssen

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

15321-how-rare-draupner-wave-event.pdf

A biogenic C02 flux adjustment scheme for the mitigation of large-scale biases in global atmospheric CO2 analyses and forecasts

Author

Anna Agusti-Panareda

Sebastien Massart

F. Chevallier

Gianpaolo Balsamo

Souhail Boussetta

Emanuel Dutra

Anton Beljaars

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

15374-biogenic-c02-flux-adjustment-scheme-mitigation-large-scale-biases-global-atmospheric-co2.pdf

Application and verification of ECMWF products 2015 - Israel

Author

IMS

2015, Book Chapter, Green Book 2015

File

74930-application-and-verification-ecmwf-products-2015-israel.pdf

Application and verification of ECMWF products 2015 - Portugal

Author

IPMA

2015, Book Chapter, Green Book 2015

File

74936-application-and-verification-ecmwf-products-2015-portugal.pdf

Application and verification of ECMWF products 2015 - Iceland

Author

Icelandic Office

2015, Book Chapter, Green Book 2015

File

74944-application-and-verification-ecmwf-products-2015-iceland.pdf

Application and verification of ECMWF products 2015 - Ireland

Author

J. Hamilton

2015, Book Chapter, Green Book 2015

File

74975-application-and-verification-ecmwf-products-2015-ireland.pdf

Application and verification of ECMWF products 2015 - France

Author

J. Stein

L. Aouf

N. Asencio

N. Guidotto

O. Mestre

D. Paradis

F. Pouponneau

I. Sanchez

J. Stein

2015, Book Chapter, Green Book 2015

File

74976-application-and-verification-ecmwf-products-2015-france.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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Improving communication of weather forecast uncertainty: A path forward

Decider: Visualising a range of possible weather scenarios in the medium range and monthly forecast periods

More accuracy with less precision: Recognising the crucial role of uncertainty for developing high-resolution NWP systems

On the use of ECMWF products for Civil Protection aims: can deterministic and probaliatic approach cooperate?

Annual Report 2014

ECMWF Financial Statements of Account 2014

New developments in the diagnosis and verification of high-impact weather forecasts

The modelling infrastructure of the Integrated Forecasting System: Recent advances and future challenges

Understanding the ECMWF winter surface temperature biases over Antarctica

Convectively coupled Kelvin Waves: From linear theory to global models

Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including 2014-2015 upgrades

Significance of changes in medium-range forecast scores

Numerical sensitivity of the ECMWF model to Semi-Lagrangian departure point iterations

Diagnosis of northern hemispheric regime behaviour during winter 2013/14

A three-dimensional multivariate modal analysis of atmospheric predictability with application to the ECMWF ensemble

A lightning parameterization for the ECMWF model

Comparison of model land skin temperature with remotely sensed estimates and assessment of surface-atmosphere coupling

How rare is the Draupner wave event?

A biogenic C02 flux adjustment scheme for the mitigation of large-scale biases in global atmospheric CO2 analyses and forecasts

Application and verification of ECMWF products 2015 - Israel

Application and verification of ECMWF products 2015 - Portugal

Application and verification of ECMWF products 2015 - Iceland

Application and verification of ECMWF products 2015 - Ireland

Application and verification of ECMWF products 2015 - France

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