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Representing model uncertainty for climate forecasts

Author

Antje Weisheimer

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79569-representing-model-uncertainty-climate-forecasts.pdf

Impact of a stochastic deep convection scheme using cellular automata in the meso-scale ensemble prediction system; Harmon-EPS

Author

Lisa Bengtsson

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79570-impact-stochastic-deep-convection-scheme-using-cellular-automata-meso-scale-ensemble.pdf

Parameter uncertainty of chaotic systems

Author

Heikki Haario

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79571-parameter-uncertainty-chaotic-systems.pdf

Inducing Tropical Cyclones to Undergo Brownian Motion

Author

Daniel Hodyss

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79572-inducing-tropical-cyclones-undergo-brownian-motion.pdf

Improving the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrisation Tendencies scheme using High-Resolution Model Simulations

Author

H Christensen

Sarah-Jane Lock

Andrew Dawson

Tim Palmer

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79616-improving-stochastically-perturbed-parametrisation-tendencies-scheme-using-high-resolution.pdf

Resolved and parametrized energy cascades in the IFS

Author

Sylvie Malardel

Nils Wedi

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79617-resolved-and-parametrized-energy-cascades-ifs.pdf

Stabilization of ARPEGE/IFS semi-Lagrangian scheme for diabatic variable resolution purpose and other pre-operational problems

Author

P. Benard

K. Yessad

1995, Conference Paper, Workshop on Semi-Lagrangian Methods, 6-8 November 1995

File

8057-stabilitzation-arpegeifs-semi-lagrangian-scheme-diabatic-variable-resolution-purpose-and-other.pdf

On the diagnosis of model error statistics using weak-constraint data assimilation

Author

Neill Bowler

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79620-diagnosis-model-error-statistics-using-weak-constraint-data-assimilation.pdf

Working group 1: What are the sources of model error?

Author

Richard Forbes

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79621-working-group-1-what-are-sources-model-error.pdf

Working group 2: How can we improve the diagnosis of model error?

Author

Heinli Wernli

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79622-working-group-2-how-can-we-improve-diagnosis-model-error.pdf

Satellite data assimilation in numerical weather prediction: an overview

Author

Jean-Noël Thépaut

2003, Conference Paper, Seminar on Recent developments in data assimilation for atmosphere and ocean, 8-12 September 2003

File

79625-satellite-data-assimilation-numerical-weather-prediction-overview.pdf

Mesoscale convective systems as a source of model error

Author

Glenn Shutts

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79749-mesoscale-convective-systems-source-model-error.pdf

Model error representation in Meteo France ensemble NWP system

Author

Laure Raynaud

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79763-model-error-representation-meteo-france-ensemble-nwp-system.pdf

Ensemble data assimilation using a unified representation of model error

Author

Chiara Piccolo

Mike Cullen

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79845-ensemble-data-assimilation-using-unified-representation-model-error.pdf

BUFRDC

Author

Daniel Varela

Enrico Fucile

2017, Software, Binary Universal Form for the Representation of Meteorological data

ecCodes

Author

Daniel Varela

Shahram Najm

2017, Software

ecFlow

Author

Daniel Varela

Axel Bonet

2017, Software

EMOSLIB

Author

Umberto Modigliani

Pedro Maciel

2015, Software

GRIB-API

Author

Umberto Modigliani

Shahram Najm

2015, Software, WMO FM-92 GRIB

Metview

Author

Iain Russell

Sandor Kertész

2017, Software

Aeolus

Author

Daniel Varela

Michael Rennie

2018, Software

ECaccess

Author

Laurent Gougeon

2017, Software

Humidity control variable and supersaturation

Author

E. Hólm

2007, Conference Paper, ECMWF Workshop on Flow-dependent aspects of data assimilation, 11-13 June 2007

File

78992-humidity-control-variable-and-supersaturation.pdf

ECMWF seminar on polar meteorology

Author

ECMWF

2006, Conference Paper, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2006, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

79124-ecmwf-seminar-polar-meteorology.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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Representing model uncertainty for climate forecasts

Impact of a stochastic deep convection scheme using cellular automata in the meso-scale ensemble prediction system; Harmon-EPS

Parameter uncertainty of chaotic systems

Inducing Tropical Cyclones to Undergo Brownian Motion

Improving the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrisation Tendencies scheme using High-Resolution Model Simulations

Resolved and parametrized energy cascades in the IFS

Stabilization of ARPEGE/IFS semi-Lagrangian scheme for diabatic variable resolution purpose and other pre-operational problems

On the diagnosis of model error statistics using weak-constraint data assimilation

Working group 1: What are the sources of model error?

Working group 2: How can we improve the diagnosis of model error?

Satellite data assimilation in numerical weather prediction: an overview

Mesoscale convective systems as a source of model error

Model error representation in Meteo France ensemble NWP system

Ensemble data assimilation using a unified representation of model error

BUFRDC

ecCodes

ecFlow

EMOSLIB

GRIB-API

Metview

Aeolus

ECaccess

Humidity control variable and supersaturation

ECMWF seminar on polar meteorology

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