Workshop on New Developments in Predictability

Local skill prediction with a simple model

J Barkmeijer

Predictability of an ocean/atmosphere model using adjoint model analysis

M B Blumenthal

Systematic and random error budgets

G J Boer

Seasonal integrations with realistic boundary forcing

C Brankovic

44-day ensemble forecasts with the T-42-L20 French spectral model

M Deque

Short-range skill prediction

K Fraedrich

Lagged average forecasts and Monte Carlo experimental forecasts at NMC

E Kalnay

30-day dynamical forecasts at the UK Meteorological Office

S F Milton

Predictability and finite-time instability of the Northern Winter Circulation

F Molteni

Ensemble predictions using dynamically-conditioned perturbations

R Mureau

Karl Popper and the accountability of numerical forecasting

H Tennekes

Low-frequency oscillations and weather regimes in the Northern Hemisphere

R Vautard

Direct prediction of error variances by the tangent linear model: a way to forecast uncertainty in the short range?

P Veyre

Forecasting forecast skill, probability forecasting and the plausibility of model produced flow

H M van den Dool