I am passionate about preserving the natural environment and have used my knowledge and experience to enhance our understanding of how climate change will manifest itself in several natural hazards, how we can mitigate and adapt to a new climate. My unique strength come from having worked both in academic and operational institutions. This gives me the tools to make good ideas goes from research to operations. In my current position at ECMWF I am coordinating our contribution to European projects, focussing on topics ranging from machine learning for flood and fire modelling, health forecasts to development of impact modelling of natural hazards.
- Operational probabilistic flood forecasting
- Uncertainty in hydrological modelling
- Sub-seasonal forecasting of droughts and water resources
- Impact modelling
- Machine learning of natural hazards
Education
PhD | Hydrology, Dept. of Geosciences, Uppsala University, Sweden. Awarded September 2005. Thesis: Statistical Downscaling of Precipitation from Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation. Comparison of Methods and Climate Regions. Supervisor: Prof Sven Halldin |
MSc | Aquatic and Environmental Engineering, Uppsala University, Sweden. Awarded October 2000. Dissertation: Evaluation of biomanipulation as a lake restoration technique -a case study of Lake Finjasjön. Supervisor: Dr Emil Ryden |
Professional Experience
2011 - | Senior Scientist in the Forecasting Department, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK |
2007-2010 | Post doc researcher at the Dept of Geography King’s College, London, UK |
2006-2011 | Researcher in Hydrology at Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden |
2005-2006 | Post-doctoral research assistant in Hydrology, Department of Earth Sciences, Stockholm University |
2000-2005 | Doctoral student at Uppsala University, Sweden |
1999-2000 | Application developer, IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute, Stockholm, Sweden |
Editorial Memberships and international committees
- Co-editor of Theoretical and Applied Climatology (since 2013-2018)
- Guest-editor of Hydrology and Earth System Sciences for a special issue on "Sub-seasonal to seasonal hydrological forecasting", (2016-2017)
- Co-chair of the HEPEX, Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction Experiment (since 2014)
Supervision and teaching
- 2008-2013 Co-Supervision of Ph. D. thesis (Claudia Teutschbein, Stockholm University; Hydrological Modeling for Climate Change Impact Assessment.)
- 2007- Co-Supervision of Ph. D. thesis (Jesper Ahlberg, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm)
- 2010 Brandon Parkes, King’s College London; Removal of systematic error in precipitation downscaling
- 2009 Co-Supervision of M.Sc. thesis (Thomas White, King’s College London; Climate Impacts on Flood Hazard: modelling with HBV and UKCP09 for the River Severn.)
- 2008 Co-Supervision of M.Sc. thesis (Clare Jeffers , King’s College London; Equifinality, uncertainty estimation and climate impacts: Projections of river flow for the Medway catchment, UK)
- 2002 Co-Supervision of M.Sc. thesis (Sara-Sofia Hellström, Uppsala University; En dagvattenmodell för beräkning av avrinning och transport av kväve och fosfor i Flatendiket i södra Stockholm)
- 2000-2005 Frequent course assistant in hydrology and hydrological modelling for M.Sc. students Uppsala University
Memberships
HEPEX, European Geosciences Union
Recently organized workshops/conferences
https://hepex.org.au/hepex-workshop-2023-forecasting-across-spatial-scales-and-time-horizons/, Workshop, Norrköping, Sweden, 13-15 September 2023
https://www.ecmwf.int/en/learning/workshops/satellite-inspired-hydrology-for-an-uncertain-future, Reading, UK, 25-28 November 2019
- 2025
- Claudia Di Napoli, Fredrik Wetterhall (January 2025) Better weather forecasts = better human health? Yes, with TRIGGER(s). DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1297
- Siham El Garroussi, Fredrik Wetterhall, Christopher Barnard, Francesca Di Giuseppe, Cinzia Mazzetti (January 2025) Advancing water resource resilience through agroforestry. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-2557
- Jessica Keune, Francesca Di Giuseppe, Fredrik Wetterhall, Chris Barnard (March 2025) A return period-based early warning index for extreme precipitation . DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu25-8483
- Francesca Di Giuseppe, Joe Mc Norton, Fredrik Wetterhall, Anna Lombardi (March 2025) The real drivers of the ML revolution in fire forecasting. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu25-8637
- Fredrik Wetterhall, Siham El Garroussi, Francesca Di Giuseppe (January 2025) A Tenfold Increase in Extreme Fires expected in Europe under a warming climate . DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19850
- James Bennett, Ilias Pechlivanidis, Yiheng Du, Marie-Amélie Boucher, Fredrik Wetterhall (January 2025) What are the top priorities for (co-) creating hydrological forecast systems that add value across spatial scales and time horizons? Outcomes from the 2023 HEPEX workshop. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-20930
- Lena Reimann, Dirk Eilander, Timothy Tiggeloven, Milana Vuckovic, Matti Kummu, Andrea Vajda, Jeremy S. Pal, Maurizio Mazzoleni, Fredrik Wetterhal, Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts (March 2025) A living, community-led metadata catalog of geospatial data for climate risk assessments: an introduction to Climate Risk STAC. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu25-5981
- Francesca Di Giuseppe, Joe McNorton, Anna Lombardi, Fredrik Wetterhall (April 2025) Global data-driven prediction of fire activity, Nature Communications. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-58097-7
- Jessica Keune, Francesca Di Giuseppe, Christopher Barnard, Eduardo Damasio da Costa, Fredrik Wetterhall (April 2025) ERA5–Drought: Global drought indices based on ECMWF reanalysis, Scientific Data. DOI: 10.1038/s41597-025-04896-y
- 2024
- Siham El Garroussi, Francesca Di Giuseppe, Christopher Barnard, Fredrik Wetterhall (January 2024) Europe faces up to tenfold increase in extreme fires in a warming climate, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00575-8
- Francesca Di Giuseppe, Claudia Vitolo, Christopher Barnard, Giorgio Libertá, Pedro Maciel, Jesus San-Miguel-Ayanz, Sebastien Villaume, Fredrik Wetterhall (January 2024) Global seasonal prediction of fire danger, Scientific Data. DOI: 10.1038/s41597-024-02948-3
- 2023
- Ruud T. W. L. Hurkmans, Bart van den Hurk, Maurice Schmeits, Fredrik Wetterhall, Ilias G. Pechlivanidis (July 2023) Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting for Fresh Water Reservoir Management in the Netherlands: An Assessment of Multiple Prediction Systems, Journal of Hydrometeorology. DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-22-0107.1
- 2022
- Fredrik Wetterhall, Umberto Modigliani, Francesca Moschini, Bojan Kasic, Stefano Ferri (June 2022) Creating a coupled multi-model hydrometeorological forecasting and decision support system. DOI: 10.5194/ems2022-222
- Fredrik Wetterhall, Umberto Modigliani, Bojan Kasic (January 2022) ECMWF’s support for the SEE-MHEWS-A project, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 170, pp. 15-22. DOI: 10.21957/fb92s3aj7w
- Ruud T. W. L. Hurkmans, Bart van den Hurk, Maurice J. Schmeits, Fredrik Wetterhall, Ilias G. Pechlivanidis (January 2022) Comparing seasonal streamflow forecast systems for management of a fresh water reservoir in the Netherlands. DOI: 10.5194/hess-2021-604
- Alberto Assis dos Reis, Albrecht Weerts, Maria-Helena Ramos, Fredrik Wetterhall, Wilson dos Santos Fernandes (December 2022) Hydrological data and modeling to combine and validate precipitation datasets relevant to hydrological applications, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2022.101200
- Christopher J. White, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Nachiketa Acharya, Elijah A. Adefisan, Michael L. Anderson, Stella Aura, Ahmed A. Balogun, Douglas Bertram, Sonia Bluhm, David J. Brayshaw, Jethro Browell, Dominik Büeler, Andrew Charlton-Perez, Xandre Chourio, Isadora Christel, Caio A. S. Coelho, Michael J. DeFlorio, Luca Delle Monache, Francesca Di Giuseppe, Ana María García-Solórzano, Peter B. Gibson, Lisa Goddard, Carmen González Romero, Richard J. Graham, Robert M. Graham, Christian M. Grams, Alan Halford, W. T. Katty Huang, Kjeld Jensen, Mary Kilavi, Kamoru A. Lawal, Robert W. Lee, David MacLeod, Andrea Manrique-Suñén, Eduardo S. P. R. Martins, Carolyn J. Maxwell, William J. Merryfield, Ángel G. Muñoz, Eniola Olaniyan, George Otieno, John A. Oyedepo, Lluís Palma, Ilias G. Pechlivanidis, Diego Pons, F. Martin Ralph, Dirceu S. Reis, Tomas A. Remenyi, James S. Risbey, Donald J. C. Robertson, Andrew W. Robertson, Stefan Smith, Fredrik Wetterhall, Fredrik Wetterhall, Fredrik Wetterhall, Fredrik Wetterhall (June 2022) Advances in the Application and Utility of Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Predictions, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society n. "6", pp. "E1448 - E1472". DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-20-0224.1
- 2021
- Jon Olav Skøien, Konrad Bogner, Peter Salamon, Fredrik Wetterhall (August 2021) On the implementation of post-processing of runoff forecast ensembles, Journal of Hydrometeorology. DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-21-0008.1
- Ervin Zsoter, Calum Baugh, Eleanor Hansford, K O'Regan, Claudia Vitolo, Fredrik Wetterhall, Christel Prudhomme (January 2021) Floods, droughts, fire and beyond ... are existing forecasts enough?, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 876. DOI: 10.21957/zacdgwze2
- 2020
- (March 2020) Ensemble flood forecasting: Current status and future opportunities, WIREs Water. DOI: 10.1002/wat2.1432
- Shaun Harrigan, Ervin Zsoter, Lorenzo Alfieri, Christel Prudhomme, Peter Salamon, Fredrik Wetterhall, Christopher Barnard, Hannah Cloke, Florian Pappenberger (September 2020) GloFAS-ERA5 operational global river discharge reanalysis 1979–present, Earth System Science Data. DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-2043-2020
- Samuel Jonson Sutanto, Fredrik Wetterhall, Henny A J Van Lanen (July 2020) Hydrological drought forecasts outperform meteorological drought forecasts, Environmental Research Letters. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab8b13
- Sutanto S.J., Van Lanen H.A.J., Wetterhall F., Llort X. (April 2020) Potential of pan-european seasonal hydrometeorological drought forecasts obtained from a multihazard early warning system, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0196.1
- Shaun Harrigan, Ervin Zsoter, Lorenzo Alfieri, Christel Prudhomme, Peter Salamon, Fredrik Wetterhall, Christopher Barnard, Hannah Cloke, Florian Pappenberger (January 2020) GloFAS-ERA5 operational global river discharge reanalysis 1979–present. DOI: 10.5194/essd-2019-232
- 2019
- Beatriz Quesada Montano, F. Wetterhall, I. K. Westerberg, H. G. Hidalgo, S. Halldin (August 2019) Characterising droughts in Central America with uncertain hydro-meteorological data, Theoretical and Applied Climatology. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-018-2730-z
- 2018
- Hirpa F. A., Pappenberger Florian, Arnal L., Baugh C. A., Cloke H. L., Dutra E., Emerton R. E., Revilla‐Romero B., Salamon Peter, Smith P. J., Stephens E., Wetterhall F., Zsoter E., Pozo J. Thielen‐del (April 2018) Global Flood Forecasting for Averting Disasters Worldwide, Global Flood Hazard. DOI: 10.1002/9781119217886.ch12
- Fredrik Wetterhall, Francesca Di Giuseppe (June 2018) The benefit of seamless forecasts for hydrological predictions over Europe, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-3409-2018
- Louise Arnal, Hannah L. Cloke, Elisabeth Stephens, Fredrik Wetterhall, Christel Prudhomme, Jessica Neumann, Blazej Krzeminski, Florian Pappenberger (April 2018) Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018
- Francesca Di Giuseppe, Samuel Rémy, Florian Pappenberger, Fredrik Wetterhall (April 2018) Using the Fire Weather Index (FWI) to improve the estimation of fire emissions from fire radiative power (FRP) observations, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-5359-2018
- 2017
- Hannah L. Cloke, Florian Pappenberger, Paul J. Smith, Fredrik Wetterhall (April 2017) How do I know if I’ve improved my continental scale flood early warning system?, Environmental Research Letters n. 4, pp. 044006.
- Hannah L. Cloke and Florian Pappenberger and Paul J. Smith and Fredrik Wetterhall (April 2017) How do I know if I’ve improved my continental scale flood early warning system?, Environmental Research Letters n. 4, pp. 044006.
- Di Giuseppe Francesca, Rémy Samuel, Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik (April 2017) Improving the forecast of biomass burning emissions with the fire weather index, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-16-0405.1
- Hannah L. Cloke and Florian Pappenberger and Paul J. Smith and Fredrik Wetterhall (April 2017) How do I know if I’ve improved my continental scale flood early warning system?, Environmental Research Letters n. 4, pp. 044006.
- Cloke H.L., Pappenberger F., Smith P.J., Wetterhall F. (April 2017) How do i know if I've improved my continental scale flood early warning system?, Environmental Research Letters. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa625a
- Fredrik Wetterhall, Paul Smith (January 2017) Hydrological Challenges in Meteorological Post-processing, Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-40457-3_15-1
- Fredrik Wetterhall, Francesca Di Giuseppe (September 2017) The benefit of seamless forecasts for hydrological predictions over Europe. DOI: 10.5194/hess-2017-527
- Louise Arnal, Hannah L. Cloke, Elisabeth Stephens, Fredrik Wetterhall, Christel Prudhomme, Jessica Neumann, Blazej Krzeminski, Florian Pappenberger (October 2017) Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?. DOI: 10.5194/hess-2017-610
- Francesca Di Giuseppe, Samuel Rémy, Florian Pappenberger, Fredrik Wetterhall (September 2017) Combining fire radiative power observations with the fire weather index improves the estimation of fire emissions. DOI: 10.5194/acp-2017-790
- 2016
- Paul Smith, Florian Pappenberger, Fredrik Wetterhall, Thielen J., Blazej Krzeminski, P. Salamon, D. Muraro, M. Kalas, Calum Baugh (April 2016) On the operational implementation of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS), ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 778. DOI: 10.21957/hytwj6azp
- Francesca Di Giuseppe, S. Remy, Florian Pappenberger, Fredrik Wetterhall (April 2016) Improving GFAS and CAMS biomass burning estimations by means of the Global ECMWF Fire Forecast system (GEFF), ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 790. DOI: 10.21957/uygqqtyh7
- Smith P.J., Pappenberger F., Wetterhall F., Thielen Del Pozo J., Krzeminski B., Salamon P., Muraro D., Kalas M., Baugh C. (April 2016) On the Operational Implementation of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS), Flood Forecasting: A Global Perspective. DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-12-801884-2.00011-6
- Smith P. J., Pappenberger F., Wetterhall F., del Pozo J. Thielen, Krzeminski B., Salamon P., Muraro D., Kalas M., Baugh C. (April 2016) On the Operational Implementation of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS), Flood Forecasting: a Global Perspective. DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-12-801884-2.00011-6
- Zsoter Ervin, Pappenberger Florian, Smith Paul, Emerton Rebecca Elizabeth, Dutra Emanuel, Wetterhall Fredrik, Richardson David, Bogner Konrad, Balsamo Gianpaolo (April 2016) Building a multi-model flood prediction system with the TIGGE archive, Journal of Hydrometeorology. DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-15-0130.1
- Di Giuseppe Francesca, Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Krzeminski Blazej, Camia Andrea, Libertá Giorgio, San Miguel Jesus (April 2016) The potential predictability of fire danger provided by numerical weather prediction, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0297.1
- Francesca Di Giuseppe, Florian Pappenberger, Fredrik Wetterhall, Blazej Krzeminski, San-Miguel-Ayanz J., Camia A., Libertà G. (April 2016) NWP-driven fire danger forecasting for Copernicus, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 147, pp. 34-39. DOI: 10.21957/ett9cmqc
- Kauffeldt A., Wetterhall F., Pappenberger F., Salamon P., Thielen J. (April 2016) Technical review of large-scale hydrological models for implementation in operational flood forecasting schemes on continental level, Environmental Modelling & Software, pp. 68-76. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.09.009
- Louise Arnal, Maria-Helena Ramos, Erin Coughlan de Perez, Hannah Louise Cloke, Elisabeth Stephens, Fredrik Wetterhall, Schalk Jan van Andel, Florian Pappenberger (August 2016) Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-20-3109-2016
- Louise Arnal, Maria-Helena Ramos, Erin Coughlan, Hannah Louise Cloke, Elisabeth Stephens, Fredrik Wetterhall, Schalk-Jan van Andel, Florian Pappenberger (January 2016) Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game. DOI: 10.5194/hess-2016-20
- Louise Arnal, Maria-Helena Ramos, Erin Coughlan, Hannah Louise Cloke, Elisabeth Stephens, Fredrik Wetterhall, Schalk-Jan van Andel, Florian Pappenberger (January 2016) Supplementary material to "Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game". DOI: 10.5194/hess-2016-20-supplement
- 2015
- F. Wetterhall, H. C. Winsemius, E. Dutra, M. Werner, E. Pappenberger (June 2015) Seasonal predictions of agro-meteorological drought indicators for the Limpopo basin, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-19-2577-2015
- Kauffeldt Anna, Halldin Sven, Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Xu Chong-Yu, Cloke Hannah L. (April 2015) Imbalanced land surface water budgets in a numerical weather prediction system, Geophysical Research Letters n. 11, pp. 4411-4417. DOI: 10.1002/2015GL064230
- Pappenberger Florian, Cloke Hannah L., Parker Dennis J., Wetterhall Fredrik, Richardson David S., Thielen Jutta (April 2015) The monetary benefit of early flood warnings in Europe, Environmental Science & Policy, pp. 278-291. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2015.04.016
- Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Dutra Emanuel, Di Giuseppe Francesca, Bogner Konrad, Alfieri Lorenzo, Cloke Hannah L. (April 2015) Seamless forecasting of extreme events on a global scale, Sustainable Water Management Solutions for Large Cities. DOI: 10.1111/JVS.12224
- Wetterhall F., Winsemius H.C., Dutra E., Werner M., Pappenberger F. (April 2015) Corrigendum to "Seasonal predictions of agro-meteorological drought indicators for the Limpopo basin" published in Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2577-2586, 2015, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-19-2637-2015
- Pappenberger F., Ramos M. H., Cloke H. L., Wetterhall F., Alfieri L., Bogner K., Mueller A., Salamon P. (April 2015) How do I know if my forecasts are better? Using benchmarks in hydrological ensemble prediction, Journal of Hydrology, pp. 697-713. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.024
- 2014
- Alfieri Lorenzo, Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Haiden Thomas, Richardson David, Salamon Peter (April 2014) Evaluation of ensemble streamflow predictions in Europe, Journal of Hydrology, pp. 913-922. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.06.035
- Smith Andrew, Bates Paul, Freer Jim, Wetterhall Fredrik (April 2014) Investigating the application of climate models in flood projection across the UK, Hydrological Processes n. 5, pp. 2810-2823. DOI: 10.1002/hyp.9815
- Arpe K., Leroy S. A. G., Wetterhall F., Khan V., Hagemann S., Lahijani H. (April 2014) Prediction of the Caspian Sea level using ECMWF seasonal forecasts and reanalysis, Theoretical and Applied Climatology n. 1-2, pp. 41-60. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-013-0937-6
- Gianpaolo Balsamo, Anna Agusti-Panareda, C. Albergel, Anton Beljaars, Souhail Boussetta, Emanuel Dutra, T. Komori, S.T.K. Lang, Joaquin Muñoz-Sabater, Florian Pappenberger, Patricia de Rosnay, irina sandu, Nils Wedi, Antje Weisheimer, Fredrik Wetterhall, Ervin Zsoter (October 2014) Representing the Earth surfaces in the Integrated Forecasting System: Recent advances and future challenges, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 729. DOI: 10.21957/tp28b09ds
- Thomas Haiden, Linus Magnusson, Ivan Tsonevsky, Fredrik Wetterhall, L. Alfieri, Florian Pappenberger, Patricia de Rosnay, Joaquin Muñoz-Sabater, Gianpaolo Balsamo, C. Albergel, Richard Forbes, Timothy Hewson, S. Malardel, David Richardson (June 2014) ECMWF forecast performance during the June 2013 flood in Central Europe, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 723, pp. 34. DOI: 10.21957/4p9ebc2r3
- E. Dutra, W. Pozzi, F. Wetterhall, F. Di Giuseppe, L. Magnusson, G. Naumann, P. Barbosa, J. Vogt, F. Pappenberger (January 2014) Supplementary material to "Global meteorological drought – Part 2: Seasonal forecasts". DOI: 10.5194/hessd-11-919-2014-supplement
- E. Dutra, W. Pozzi, F. Wetterhall, F. Di Giuseppe, L. Magnusson, G. Naumann, P. Barbosa, J. Vogt, F. Pappenberger (January 2014) Global meteorological drought – Part 2: Seasonal forecasts. DOI: 10.5194/hessd-11-919-2014
- E. Dutra, F. Wetterhall, F. Di Giuseppe, G. Naumann, P. Barbosa, J. Vogt, W. Pozzi, F. Pappenberger (January 2014) Global meteorological drought – Part 1: Probabilistic monitoring. DOI: 10.5194/hessd-11-889-2014
- E. Dutra, F. Wetterhall, F. Di Giuseppe, G. Naumann, P. Barbosa, J. Vogt, W. Pozzi, F. Pappenberger (January 2014) Supplementary material to "Global meteorological drought – Part 1: Probabilistic monitoring". DOI: 10.5194/hessd-11-889-2014-supplement
- E. Dutra, F. Wetterhall, F. Di Giuseppe, G. Naumann, P. Barbosa, J. Vogt, W. Pozzi, F. Pappenberger (July 2014) Global meteorological drought – Part 1: Probabilistic monitoring, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-18-2657-2014
- E. Dutra, W. Pozzi, F. Wetterhall, F. Di Giuseppe, L. Magnusson, G. Naumann, P. Barbosa, J. Vogt, F. Pappenberger (July 2014) Global meteorological drought – Part 2: Seasonal forecasts, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-18-2669-2014
- L. Alfieri, F. Pappenberger, F. Wetterhall (June 2014) The extreme runoff index for flood early warning in Europe, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/nhess-14-1505-2014
- H. C. Winsemius, E. Dutra, F. A. Engelbrecht, E. Archer Van Garderen, F. Wetterhall, F. Pappenberger, M. G. F. Werner (April 2014) The potential value of seasonal forecasts in a changing climate in southern Africa, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-18-1525-2014
- G. Naumann, E. Dutra, P. Barbosa, F. Pappenberger, F. Wetterhall, J. V. Vogt (May 2014) Comparison of drought indicators derived from multiple data sets over Africa, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-18-1625-2014
- E. Mwangi, F. Wetterhall, E. Dutra, F. Di Giuseppe, F. Pappenberger (February 2014) Forecasting droughts in East Africa, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-18-611-2014
- F. Wetterhall, H. C. Winsemius, E. Dutra, M. Werner, F. Pappenberger (January 2014) Seasonal predictions of agro-meteorological drought indicators for the Limpopo basin. DOI: 10.5194/hessd-11-861-2014
- 2013
- E. Dutra, F. Di Giuseppe, F. Wetterhall, F. Pappenberger (June 2013) Seasonal forecasts of droughts in African basins using the Standardized Precipitation Index, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-17-2359-2013
- Parkes B. L., Wetterhall F., Pappenberger F., He Y., Malamud B. D., Cloke H. L. (April 2013) Assessment of a 1-hour gridded precipitation dataset to drive a hydrological model: a case study of the summer 2007 floods in the Upper Severn, UK, Hydrology Research n. 1, pp. 132-146. DOI: 10.2166/nh.2011.025
- Cloke Hannah L., Wetterhall Fredrik, He Yi, Freer Jim E., Pappenberger Florian (April 2013) Modelling climate impact on floods with ensemble climate projections, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society n. 671, pp. 282-297. DOI: 10.1002/qj.1998
- Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Dutra Emanuel, Cloke Hannah L. (April 2013) Seamless forecasting of extreme events on a global scale, IAHS-AISH publication, pp. 3-10.
- Dutra Emanuel, Magnusson Linus, Wetterhall Fredrik, Cloke Hannah L., Balsamo Gianpaolo, Boussetta Souhail, Pappenberger Florian (April 2013) The 2010–2011 drought in the Horn of Africa in ECMWF reanalysis and seasonal forecast products, International Journal of Climatology n. 7, pp. 1720-1729. DOI: 10.1002/joc.3545
- Dutra E., Diamantakis M., Tsonevsky I., Zsoter E., Wetterhall F., Stockdale T., Richardson D., Pappenberger F. (April 2013) The extreme forecast index at the seasonal scale, Atmospheric Science Letters n. 4, pp. 256-262. DOI: 10.1002/asl2.448
- Pozzi Will, Sheffield Justin, Stefanski Robert, Cripe Douglas, Pulwarty Roger, Vogt Jürgen V., Heim Richard R., Brewer Michael J., Svoboda Mark, Westerhoff Rogier, van Dijk Albert I. J. M., Lloyd-Hughes Benjamin, Pappenberger Florian, Werner Micha, Dutra Emanuel, Wetterhall Fredrik, Wagner Wolfgang, Schubert Siegfried, Mo Kingtse, Nicholson Margaret, Bettio Lynette, Nunez Liliana, van Beek Rens, Bierkens Marc, de Goncalves Luis Gustavo Goncalves, de Mattos João Gerd Zell, Lawford Richard (April 2013) Toward Global Drought Early Warning Capability: Expanding International Cooperation for the Development of a Framework for Monitoring and Forecasting, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society n. 6, pp. 776-785. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00176.1
- Pappenberger Florian, Stephens Elisabeth, Thielen Jutta, Salamon Peter, Demeritt David, van Andel Schalk Jan, Wetterhall Fredrik, Alfieri Lorenzo (April 2013) Visualizing probabilistic flood forecast information: expert preferences and perceptions of best practice in uncertainty communication, Hydrological Processes n. 1, pp. 132-146. DOI: 10.1002/hyp.9253
- Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Dutra Emanuel, Cloke Hannah L. (April 2013) Seamless forecasting of extreme events on a global scale, IAHS-AISH publication, pp. 3-10.
- Emanuel Dutra, Michail Diamantakis, Ivan Tsonevsky, Ervin Zsoter, Fredrik Wetterhall, Timothy Stockdale, David Richardson, Florian Pappenberger (June 2013) The extreme forecast index applied to seasonal forecasts, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 703, pp. 24. DOI: 10.21957/m4j70t27c
- Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Dutra Emanuel, Cloke Hannah L. (April 2013) Seamless forecasting of extreme events on a global scale, IAHS-AISH publication, pp. 3-10.
- He Y., Pappenberger F., Manful D., Cloke H., Bates P., Wetterhall F., Parkes B. (April 2013) Flood Inundation Dynamics and Socioeconomic Vulnerability under Environmental Change, Climate Vulnerability: Understanding and Addressing Threats to Essential Resources. DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-12-384703-4.00508-6
- Pappenberger F., Wetterhall F., Dutra E., Di Giuseppe F., Bogner K., Alfieri L., Cloke H.L. (April 2013) Seamless forecasting of extreme events on a global scale, IAHS-AISH Proceedings and Reports.
- L. Alfieri, F. Pappenberger, F. Wetterhall (December 2013) The extreme runoff index for flood early warning in Europe. DOI: 10.5194/nhessd-1-7517-2013
- G. Naumann, E. Dutra, P. Barbosa, F. Pappenberger, F. Wetterhall, J. Vogt (November 2013) Establishing the dominant source of uncertainty in drought indicators. DOI: 10.5194/hessd-10-13407-2013
- H. C. Winsemius, E. Dutra, F. A. Engelbrecht, E. Archer Van Garderen, F. Wetterhall, F. Pappenberger, M. G. F. Werner (December 2013) The potential value of seasonal forecasts in a changing climate. DOI: 10.5194/hessd-10-14747-2013
- H. C. Winsemius, E. Dutra, F. A. Engelbrecht, E. Archer Van Garderen, F. Wetterhall, F. Pappenberger, M. G. F. Werner (December 2013) Supplementary material to "The potential value of seasonal forecasts in a changing climate". DOI: 10.5194/hessd-10-14747-2013-supplement
- E. Mwangi, F. Wetterhall, E. Dutra, F. Di Giuseppe, F. Pappenberger (August 2013) Forecasting droughts in East Africa. DOI: 10.5194/hessd-10-10209-2013
- F. Wetterhall, F. Pappenberger, H. L. Cloke, J. Thielen-del Pozo, S. Balabanova, J. Daňhelka, A. Vogelbacher, P. Salamon, I. Carrasco, A. J. Cabrera-Tordera, M. Corzo-Toscano, M. Garcia-Padilla, R. J. Garcia-Sanchez, C. Ardilouze, S. Jurela, B. Terek, A. Csik, J. Casey, G. Stankūnavičius, V. Ceres, E. Sprokkereef, J. Stam, E. Anghel, D. Vladikovic, C. Alionte Eklund, N. Hjerdt, H. Djerv, F. Holmberg, J. Nilsson, K. Nyström, M. Sušnik, M. Hazlinger, M. Holubecka (February 2013) Forecasters priorities for improving probabilistic flood forecasts. DOI: 10.5194/hessd-10-2215-2013
- F. Wetterhall, F. Pappenberger, L. Alfieri, H. L. Cloke, J. Thielen-del Pozo, S. Balabanova, J. Daňhelka, A. Vogelbacher, P. Salamon, I. Carrasco, A. J. Cabrera-Tordera, M. Corzo-Toscano, M. Garcia-Padilla, R. J. Garcia-Sanchez, C. Ardilouze, S. Jurela, B. Terek, A. Csik, J. Casey, G. Stankūnavičius, V. Ceres, E. Sprokkereef, J. Stam, E. Anghel, D. Vladikovic, C. Alionte Eklund, N. Hjerdt, H. Djerv, F. Holmberg, J. Nilsson, K. Nyström, M. Sušnik, M. Hazlinger, M. Holubecka (November 2013) HESS Opinions "Forecaster priorities for improving probabilistic flood forecasts", Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-17-4389-2013
- F. Wetterhall, F. Pappenberger, H. L. Cloke, J. Thielen-del Pozo, S. Balabanova, J. Daňhelka, A. Vogelbacher, P. Salamon, I. Carrasco, A. J. Cabrera-Tordera, M. Corzo-Toscano, M. Garcia-Padilla, R. J. Garcia-Sanchez, C. Ardilouze, S. Jurela, B. Terek, A. Csik, J. Casey, G. Stankūnavičius, V. Ceres, E. Sprokkereef, J. Stam, E. Anghel, D. Vladikovic, C. Alionte Eklund, N. Hjerdt, H. Djerv, F. Holmberg, J. Nilsson, K. Nyström, M. Sušnik, M. Hazlinger, M. Holubecka (February 2013) Supplementary material to "Forecasters priorities for improving probabilistic flood forecasts". DOI: 10.5194/hessd-10-2215-2013-supplement
- 2012
- Wetterhall F., Pappenberger F., He Y., Freer J., Cloke H. L. (April 2012) Conditioning model output statistics of regional climate model precipitation on circulation patterns, Nonlin. Processes Geophys. n. 6, pp. 623-633. DOI: 10.5194/npg-19-623-2012
- Pappenberger F., Dutra E., Wetterhall F., Cloke H. L. (April 2012) Deriving global flood hazard maps of fluvial floods through a physical model cascade, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. n. 11, pp. 4143-4156. DOI: 10.5194/hess-16-4143-2012
- Alfieri Lorenzo, Salamon Peter, Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Thielen Jutta (April 2012) Operational early warning systems for water-related hazards in Europe, Environmental Science & Policy, pp. 35-49. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2012.01.008
- Emanuel Dutra, Magnusson L., Fredrik Wetterhall, Hannah L. Cloke, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Souhail Boussetta, Florian Pappenberger (April 2012) Monitoring and forecasting the 2010/11 drought in the Horn of Africa, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 131, pp. 9-11. DOI: 10.21957/6bchg0s5
- Florian Pappenberger, Thielen J., A. de Roo, Roberto Buizza, Blazej Krzeminski, Alfred Hofstadler, Fredrik Wetterhall, Salamon P., Andrew Brady (April 2012) The European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) at ECMWF: towards operational implementation, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 131, pp. 25-30. DOI: 10.21957/4rtv2shc
- 2011
- Bao H. J., Zhao L. N., He Y., Li Z. J., Wetterhall F., Cloke H. L., Pappenberger F., Manful D. (April 2011) Coupling ensemble weather predictions based on TIGGE database with Grid-Xinanjiang model for flood forecast, Adv. Geosci., pp. 61-67. DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-29-61-2011
- Wetterhall F., He Y., Cloke H., Pappenberger F. (April 2011) Effects of temporal resolution of input precipitation on the performance of hydrological forecasting, Adv. Geosci., pp. 21-25. DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-29-21-2011
- Teutschbein Claudia, Wetterhall Fredrik, Seibert Jan (April 2011) Evaluation of different downscaling techniques for hydrological climate-change impact studies at the catchment scale, Climate Dynamics n. 9, pp. 2087-2105. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0979-8