I am passionate about preserving the natural environment and have used my knowledge and experience to enhance our understanding of how climate change will manifest itself in several natural hazards, how we can mitigate and adapt to a new climate. My unique strength come from having worked both in academic and operational institutions. This gives me the tools to make good ideas goes from research to operations. In my current position at ECMWF I am coordinating our contribution to European projects, focussing on topics ranging from machine learning for flood and fire modelling, health forecasts to development of impact modelling of natural hazards.
- Operational probabilistic flood forecasting
- Uncertainty in hydrological modelling
- Sub-seasonal forecasting of droughts and water resources
- Impact modelling
- Machine learning of natural hazards
Education
PhD | Hydrology, Dept. of Geosciences, Uppsala University, Sweden. Awarded September 2005. Thesis: Statistical Downscaling of Precipitation from Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation. Comparison of Methods and Climate Regions. Supervisor: Prof Sven Halldin |
MSc | Aquatic and Environmental Engineering, Uppsala University, Sweden. Awarded October 2000. Dissertation: Evaluation of biomanipulation as a lake restoration technique -a case study of Lake Finjasjön. Supervisor: Dr Emil Ryden |
Professional Experience
2011 - | Senior Scientist in the Forecasting Department, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK |
2007-2010 | Post doc researcher at the Dept of Geography King’s College, London, UK |
2006-2011 | Researcher in Hydrology at Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden |
2005-2006 | Post-doctoral research assistant in Hydrology, Department of Earth Sciences, Stockholm University |
2000-2005 | Doctoral student at Uppsala University, Sweden |
1999-2000 | Application developer, IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute, Stockholm, Sweden |
Editorial Memberships and international committees
- Co-editor of Theoretical and Applied Climatology (since 2013-2018)
- Guest-editor of Hydrology and Earth System Sciences for a special issue on "Sub-seasonal to seasonal hydrological forecasting", (2016-2017)
- Co-chair of the HEPEX, Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction Experiment (since 2014)
Supervision and teaching
- 2008-2013 Co-Supervision of Ph. D. thesis (Claudia Teutschbein, Stockholm University; Hydrological Modeling for Climate Change Impact Assessment.)
- 2007- Co-Supervision of Ph. D. thesis (Jesper Ahlberg, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm)
- 2010 Brandon Parkes, King’s College London; Removal of systematic error in precipitation downscaling
- 2009 Co-Supervision of M.Sc. thesis (Thomas White, King’s College London; Climate Impacts on Flood Hazard: modelling with HBV and UKCP09 for the River Severn.)
- 2008 Co-Supervision of M.Sc. thesis (Clare Jeffers , King’s College London; Equifinality, uncertainty estimation and climate impacts: Projections of river flow for the Medway catchment, UK)
- 2002 Co-Supervision of M.Sc. thesis (Sara-Sofia Hellström, Uppsala University; En dagvattenmodell för beräkning av avrinning och transport av kväve och fosfor i Flatendiket i södra Stockholm)
- 2000-2005 Frequent course assistant in hydrology and hydrological modelling for M.Sc. students Uppsala University
Memberships
HEPEX, European Geosciences Union
Recently organized workshops/conferences
https://hepex.org.au/hepex-workshop-2023-forecasting-across-spatial-scales-and-time-horizons/, Workshop, Norrköping, Sweden, 13-15 September 2023
https://www.ecmwf.int/en/learning/workshops/satellite-inspired-hydrology-for-an-uncertain-future, Reading, UK, 25-28 November 2019
- 2024
- Siham El Garroussi, Francesca Di Giuseppe, Christopher Barnard, Fredrik Wetterhall (January 2024) Europe faces up to tenfold increase in extreme fires in a warming climate, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00575-8
- Francesca Di Giuseppe, Claudia Vitolo, Christopher Barnard, Giorgio Libertá, Pedro Maciel, Jesus San-Miguel-Ayanz, Sebastien Villaume, Fredrik Wetterhall (January 2024) Global seasonal prediction of fire danger, Scientific Data. DOI: 10.1038/s41597-024-02948-3
- 2023
- Antonio Parodi, Silvana Di Sabatino, Pinhas Alpert, Paolo Mazzetti, Francesco Pilla, Maria Carmen Llasat, Gert-Jan Steeneveld, Muhammad Adnan, Fredrik Wetterhall, Katriina Soini, Stine Skot, Katja Firus, Milan Kalas, Carlo Trozzi, Ephraim Broschkowski, Seyni Salack (May 2023) I-CHANGE (Individual Change of HAbits Needed for Green European transition) project. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu23-9512
- Ruud T. W. L. Hurkmans, Bart van den Hurk, Maurice Schmeits, Fredrik Wetterhall, Ilias G. Pechlivanidis (July 2023) Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting for Fresh Water Reservoir Management in the Netherlands: An Assessment of Multiple Prediction Systems, Journal of Hydrometeorology. DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-22-0107.1
- 2022
- Fredrik Wetterhall, Umberto Modigliani, Francesca Moschini, Bojan Kasic, Stefano Ferri (June 2022) Creating a coupled multi-model hydrometeorological forecasting and decision support system. DOI: 10.5194/ems2022-222
- Fredrik Wetterhall, Umberto Modigliani, Bojan Kasic (January 2022) ECMWF’s support for the SEE-MHEWS-A project, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 170, pp. 15-22. DOI: 10.21957/fb92s3aj7w
- Fredrik Wetterhall, Umberto Modigliani, Milan Dacic, Sari Lappi (March 2022) Lessons learned from developing a multi-model hydrometeorological forecasting system. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12766
- Ruud T. W. L. Hurkmans, Bart van den Hurk, Maurice J. Schmeits, Fredrik Wetterhall, Ilias G. Pechlivanidis (January 2022) Comparing seasonal streamflow forecast systems for management of a fresh water reservoir in the Netherlands. DOI: 10.5194/hess-2021-604
- Francesca Di Giuseppe, Fredrik Wetterhall (March 2022) The skill of sub-seasonal hydrological prediction over Europe . DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9437
- Alberto Assis dos Reis, Albrecht Weerts, Maria-Helena Ramos, Fredrik Wetterhall, Wilson dos Santos Fernandes (December 2022) Hydrological data and modeling to combine and validate precipitation datasets relevant to hydrological applications, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2022.101200
- Christopher J. White, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Nachiketa Acharya, Elijah A. Adefisan, Michael L. Anderson, Stella Aura, Ahmed A. Balogun, Douglas Bertram, Sonia Bluhm, David J. Brayshaw, Jethro Browell, Dominik Büeler, Andrew Charlton-Perez, Xandre Chourio, Isadora Christel, Caio A. S. Coelho, Michael J. DeFlorio, Luca Delle Monache, Francesca Di Giuseppe, Ana María García-Solórzano, Peter B. Gibson, Lisa Goddard, Carmen González Romero, Richard J. Graham, Robert M. Graham, Christian M. Grams, Alan Halford, W. T. Katty Huang, Kjeld Jensen, Mary Kilavi, Kamoru A. Lawal, Robert W. Lee, David MacLeod, Andrea Manrique-Suñén, Eduardo S. P. R. Martins, Carolyn J. Maxwell, William J. Merryfield, Ángel G. Muñoz, Eniola Olaniyan, George Otieno, John A. Oyedepo, Lluís Palma, Ilias G. Pechlivanidis, Diego Pons, F. Martin Ralph, Dirceu S. Reis, Tomas A. Remenyi, James S. Risbey, Donald J. C. Robertson, Andrew W. Robertson, Stefan Smith, Fredrik Wetterhall, Fredrik Wetterhall, Fredrik Wetterhall, Fredrik Wetterhall (June 2022) Advances in the Application and Utility of Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Predictions, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society n. "6", pp. "E1448 - E1472". DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-20-0224.1
- 2021
- Jon Olav Skøien, Konrad Bogner, Peter Salamon, Fredrik Wetterhall (August 2021) On the implementation of post-processing of runoff forecast ensembles, Journal of Hydrometeorology. DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-21-0008.1
- Ervin Zsoter, Calum Baugh, Eleanor Hansford, K O'Regan, Claudia Vitolo, Fredrik Wetterhall, Christel Prudhomme (January 2021) Floods, droughts, fire and beyond ... are existing forecasts enough?, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 876. DOI: 10.21957/zacdgwze2
- 2020
- Sutanto S.J., Van Lanen H.A.J., Wetterhall F., Llort X. (March 2020) Potential of pan-european seasonal hydrometeorological drought forecasts obtained from a multihazard early warning system, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0196.1
- (March 2020) Ensemble flood forecasting: Current status and future opportunities, WIREs Water. DOI: 10.1002/wat2.1432
- Shaun Harrigan, Ervin Zsoter, Lorenzo Alfieri, Christel Prudhomme, Peter Salamon, Fredrik Wetterhall, Christopher Barnard, Hannah Cloke, Florian Pappenberger (September 2020) GloFAS-ERA5 operational global river discharge reanalysis 1979–present, Earth System Science Data. DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-2043-2020
- Samuel Jonson Sutanto, Fredrik Wetterhall, Henny A J Van Lanen (July 2020) Hydrological drought forecasts outperform meteorological drought forecasts, Environmental Research Letters. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab8b13
- Shaun Harrigan, Ervin Zsoter, Lorenzo Alfieri, Christel Prudhomme, Peter Salamon, Fredrik Wetterhall, Christopher Barnard, Hannah Cloke, Florian Pappenberger (March 2020) GloFAS-ERA5 operational global river discharge reanalysis 1979–present. DOI: 10.5194/ESSD-2019-232
- 2019
- Beatriz Quesada Montano, F. Wetterhall, I. K. Westerberg, H. G. Hidalgo, S. Halldin (August 2019) Characterising droughts in Central America with uncertain hydro-meteorological data, Theoretical and Applied Climatology. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-018-2730-z
- 2018
- Wetterhall F., Di Giuseppe F. (March 2018) The benefit of seamless forecasts for hydrological predictions over Europe, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. n. 6, pp. 3409-3420. DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-3409-2018
- Hirpa F. A., Pappenberger Florian, Arnal L., Baugh C. A., Cloke H. L., Dutra E., Emerton R. E., Revilla‐Romero B., Salamon Peter, Smith P. J., Stephens E., Wetterhall F., Zsoter E., Pozo J. Thielen‐del (March 2018) Global Flood Forecasting for Averting Disasters Worldwide, Global Flood Hazard. DOI: 10.1002/9781119217886.ch12
- Arnal L., Cloke H. L., Stephens E., Wetterhall F., Prudhomme C., Neumann J., Krzeminski B., Pappenberger F. (March 2018) Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. n. 4, pp. 2057-2072. DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018
- Di Giuseppe F., Rémy S., Pappenberger F., Wetterhall F. (March 2018) Using the Fire Weather Index (FWI) to improve the estimation of fire emissions from fire radiative power (FRP) observations, Atmos. Chem. Phys. n. 8, pp. 5359-5370. DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-5359-2018
- 2017
- Hannah L. Cloke, Florian Pappenberger, Paul J. Smith, Fredrik Wetterhall (March 2017) How do I know if I’ve improved my continental scale flood early warning system?, Environmental Research Letters n. 4, pp. 044006.
- Di Giuseppe F., Rémy S., Pappenberger F., Wetterhall F. (March 2017) Combining fire radiative power observations with the fire weather index improves the estimation of fire emissions, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., pp. 1-16. DOI: 10.5194/acp-2017-790
- Hannah L. Cloke and Florian Pappenberger and Paul J. Smith and Fredrik Wetterhall (March 2017) How do I know if I’ve improved my continental scale flood early warning system?, Environmental Research Letters n. 4, pp. 044006.
- Di Giuseppe Francesca, Rémy Samuel, Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik (March 2017) Improving the forecast of biomass burning emissions with the fire weather index, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-16-0405.1
- Arnal L., Cloke H. L., Stephens E., Wetterhall F., Prudhomme C., Neumann J., Krzeminski B., Pappenberger F. (March 2017) Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., pp. 1-27. DOI: 10.5194/hess-2017-610
- Wetterhall F., Di Giuseppe F. (March 2017) The benefit of seamless forecasts for hydrological predictions over Europe, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., pp. 1-17. DOI: 10.5194/hess-2017-527
- Hannah L. Cloke and Florian Pappenberger and Paul J. Smith and Fredrik Wetterhall (March 2017) How do I know if I’ve improved my continental scale flood early warning system?, Environmental Research Letters n. 4, pp. 044006.
- Cloke H.L., Pappenberger F., Smith P.J., Wetterhall F. (March 2017) How do i know if I've improved my continental scale flood early warning system?, Environmental Research Letters. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa625a
- Fredrik Wetterhall, Paul Smith (January 2017) Hydrological Challenges in Meteorological Post-processing, Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-40457-3_15-1
- 2016
- Zsoter Ervin, Pappenberger Florian, Smith Paul, Emerton Rebecca Elizabeth, Dutra Emanuel, Wetterhall Fredrik, Richardson David, Bogner Konrad, Balsamo Gianpaolo (March 2016) Building a multi-model flood prediction system with the TIGGE archive, Journal of Hydrometeorology. DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-15-0130.1
- Paul Smith, Florian Pappenberger, Fredrik Wetterhall, Thielen J., Blazej Krzeminski, P. Salamon, D. Muraro, M. Kalas, Calum Baugh (March 2016) On the operational implementation of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS), ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 778. DOI: 10.21957/hytwj6azp
- Kauffeldt A., Wetterhall F., Pappenberger F., Salamon P., Thielen J. (March 2016) Technical review of large-scale hydrological models for implementation in operational flood forecasting schemes on continental level, Environmental Modelling & Software, pp. 68-76. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.09.009
- Di Giuseppe Francesca, Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Krzeminski Blazej, Camia Andrea, Libertá Giorgio, San Miguel Jesus (March 2016) The potential predictability of fire danger provided by numerical weather prediction, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0297.1
- Arnal Louise, Ramos Maria-Helena, Coughlan Erin, Cloke Hannah Louise, Stephens Elisabeth, Wetterhall Fredrik, van Andel Schalk-Jan, Pappenberger Florian (March 2016) Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., pp. 1-38. DOI: 10.5194/hess-2016-20
- Arnal L., Ramos M. H., Coughlan de Perez E., Cloke H. L., Stephens E., Wetterhall F., van Andel S. J., Pappenberger F. (March 2016) Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. n. 8, pp. 3109-3128. DOI: 10.5194/hess-20-3109-2016
- Francesca Di Giuseppe, Florian Pappenberger, Fredrik Wetterhall, Blazej Krzeminski, San-Miguel-Ayanz J., Camia A., Libertà G. (March 2016) NWP-driven fire danger forecasting for Copernicus, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 147, pp. 34-39. DOI: 10.21957/ett9cmqc
- Francesca Di Giuseppe, S. Remy, Florian Pappenberger, Fredrik Wetterhall (March 2016) Improving GFAS and CAMS biomass burning estimations by means of the Global ECMWF Fire Forecast system (GEFF), ECMWF Technical Memorandum n. 790. DOI: 10.21957/uygqqtyh7
- Smith P.J., Pappenberger F., Wetterhall F., Thielen Del Pozo J., Krzeminski B., Salamon P., Muraro D., Kalas M., Baugh C. (March 2016) On the Operational Implementation of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS), Flood Forecasting: A Global Perspective. DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-12-801884-2.00011-6
- Smith P. J., Pappenberger F., Wetterhall F., del Pozo J. Thielen, Krzeminski B., Salamon P., Muraro D., Kalas M., Baugh C. (March 2016) On the Operational Implementation of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS), Flood Forecasting: a Global Perspective. DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-12-801884-2.00011-6
- 2015
- Pappenberger F., Ramos M. H., Cloke H. L., Wetterhall F., Alfieri L., Bogner K., Mueller A., Salamon P. (March 2015) How do I know if my forecasts are better? Using benchmarks in hydrological ensemble prediction, Journal of Hydrology, pp. 697-713. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.024
- Kauffeldt Anna, Halldin Sven, Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Xu Chong-Yu, Cloke Hannah L. (March 2015) Imbalanced land surface water budgets in a numerical weather prediction system, Geophysical Research Letters n. 11, pp. 4411-4417. DOI: 10.1002/2015GL064230
- Wetterhall F., Winsemius H. C., Dutra E., Werner M., Pappenberger E. (March 2015) Seasonal predictions of agro-meteorological drought indicators for the Limpopo basin, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. n. 6, pp. 2577-2586. DOI: 10.5194/hess-19-2577-2015
- Pappenberger Florian, Cloke Hannah L., Parker Dennis J., Wetterhall Fredrik, Richardson David S., Thielen Jutta (March 2015) The monetary benefit of early flood warnings in Europe, Environmental Science & Policy, pp. 278-291. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2015.04.016
- Wetterhall F., Winsemius H.C., Dutra E., Werner M., Pappenberger F. (March 2015) Corrigendum to "Seasonal predictions of agro-meteorological drought indicators for the Limpopo basin" published in Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2577-2586, 2015, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. DOI: 10.5194/hess-19-2637-2015
- Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Dutra Emanuel, Di Giuseppe Francesca, Bogner Konrad, Alfieri Lorenzo, Cloke Hannah L. (March 2015) Seamless forecasting of extreme events on a global scale, Sustainable Water Management Solutions for Large Cities. DOI: 10.1111/JVS.12224
- 2014
- Gianpaolo Balsamo, Anna Agusti-Panareda, C. Albergel, Anton Beljaars, Souhail Boussetta, Emanuel Dutra, T. Komori, S.T.K. Lang, Joaquin Muñoz-Sabater, Florian Pappenberger, Patricia de Rosnay, irina sandu, Nils Wedi, Antje Weisheimer, Fredrik Wetterhall, Ervin Zsoter (October 2014) Representing the Earth surfaces in the Integrated Forecasting System: Recent advances and future challenges, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 729. DOI: 10.21957/tp28b09ds
- Thomas Haiden, Linus Magnusson, Ivan Tsonevsky, Fredrik Wetterhall, L. Alfieri, Florian Pappenberger, Patricia de Rosnay, Joaquin Muñoz-Sabater, Gianpaolo Balsamo, C. Albergel, Richard Forbes, Timothy Hewson, S. Malardel, David Richardson (June 2014) ECMWF forecast performance during the June 2013 flood in Central Europe, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 723, pp. 34. DOI: 10.21957/4p9ebc2r3
- Naumann G., Dutra E., Barbosa P., Pappenberger F., Wetterhall F., Vogt J. V. (March 2014) Comparison of drought indicators derived from multiple data sets over Africa, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. n. 5, pp. 1625-1640. DOI: 10.5194/hess-18-1625-2014
- Alfieri Lorenzo, Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Haiden Thomas, Richardson David, Salamon Peter (March 2014) Evaluation of ensemble streamflow predictions in Europe, Journal of Hydrology, pp. 913-922. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.06.035
- Mwangi E., Wetterhall F., Dutra E., Di Giuseppe F., Pappenberger F. (March 2014) Forecasting droughts in East Africa, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. n. 2, pp. 611-620. DOI: 10.5194/hess-18-611-2014
- Dutra E., Wetterhall F., Di Giuseppe F., Naumann G., Barbosa P., Vogt J., Pozzi W., Pappenberger F. (March 2014) Global meteorological drought – Part 1: Probabilistic monitoring, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. n. 7, pp. 2657-2667. DOI: 10.5194/hess-18-2657-2014
- Dutra E., Pozzi W., Wetterhall F., Di Giuseppe F., Magnusson L., Naumann G., Barbosa P., Vogt J., Pappenberger F. (March 2014) Global meteorological drought – Part 2: Seasonal forecasts, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. n. 7, pp. 2669-2678. DOI: 10.5194/hess-18-2669-2014
- Smith Andrew, Bates Paul, Freer Jim, Wetterhall Fredrik (March 2014) Investigating the application of climate models in flood projection across the UK, Hydrological Processes n. 5, pp. 2810-2823. DOI: 10.1002/hyp.9815
- Arpe K., Leroy S. A. G., Wetterhall F., Khan V., Hagemann S., Lahijani H. (March 2014) Prediction of the Caspian Sea level using ECMWF seasonal forecasts and reanalysis, Theoretical and Applied Climatology n. 1-2, pp. 41-60. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-013-0937-6
- Wetterhall F., Winsemius H. C., Dutra E., Werner M., Pappenberger F. (March 2014) Seasonal predictions of agro-meteorological drought indicators for the Limpopo basin, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. n. 1, pp. 861-888. DOI: 10.5194/hessd-11-861-2014
- Alfieri L., Pappenberger F., Wetterhall F. (March 2014) The extreme runoff index for flood early warning in Europe, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. n. 6, pp. 1505-1515. DOI: 10.5194/nhess-14-1505-2014
- Winsemius H. C., Dutra E., Engelbrecht F. A., Archer Van Garderen E., Wetterhall F., Pappenberger F., Werner M. G. F. (March 2014) The potential value of seasonal forecasts in a changing climate in southern Africa, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. n. 4, pp. 1525-1538. DOI: 10.5194/hess-18-1525-2014
- 2013
- Parkes B. L., Wetterhall F., Pappenberger F., He Y., Malamud B. D., Cloke H. L. (March 2013) Assessment of a 1-hour gridded precipitation dataset to drive a hydrological model: a case study of the summer 2007 floods in the Upper Severn, UK, Hydrology Research n. 1, pp. 132-146. DOI: 10.2166/nh.2011.025
- Wetterhall F., Pappenberger F., Alfieri L., Cloke H. L., Thielen-del Pozo J., Balabanova S., Daňhelka J., Vogelbacher A., Salamon P., Carrasco I., Cabrera-Tordera A. J., Corzo-Toscano M., Garcia-Padilla M., Garcia-Sanchez R. J., Ardilouze C., Jurela S., Terek B., Csik A., Casey J., Stankūnavičius G., Ceres V., Sprokkereef E., Stam J., Anghel E., Vladikovic D., Alionte Eklund C., Hjerdt N., Djerv H., Holmberg F., Nilsson J., Nyström K., Sušnik M., Hazlinger M., Holubecka M. (March 2013) HESS Opinions "Forecaster priorities for improving probabilistic flood forecasts", Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. n. 11, pp. 4389-4399. DOI: 10.5194/hess-17-4389-2013
- Cloke Hannah L., Wetterhall Fredrik, He Yi, Freer Jim E., Pappenberger Florian (March 2013) Modelling climate impact on floods with ensemble climate projections, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society n. 671, pp. 282-297. DOI: 10.1002/qj.1998
- Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Dutra Emanuel, Cloke Hannah L. (March 2013) Seamless forecasting of extreme events on a global scale, IAHS-AISH publication, pp. 3-10.
- Dutra E., Di Giuseppe F., Wetterhall F., Pappenberger F. (March 2013) Seasonal forecasts of droughts in African basins using the Standardized Precipitation Index, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. n. 6, pp. 2359-2373. DOI: 10.5194/hess-17-2359-2013
- Dutra Emanuel, Magnusson Linus, Wetterhall Fredrik, Cloke Hannah L., Balsamo Gianpaolo, Boussetta Souhail, Pappenberger Florian (March 2013) The 2010–2011 drought in the Horn of Africa in ECMWF reanalysis and seasonal forecast products, International Journal of Climatology n. 7, pp. 1720-1729. DOI: 10.1002/joc.3545
- Dutra E., Diamantakis M., Tsonevsky I., Zsoter E., Wetterhall F., Stockdale T., Richardson D., Pappenberger F. (March 2013) The extreme forecast index at the seasonal scale, Atmospheric Science Letters n. 4, pp. 256-262. DOI: 10.1002/asl2.448
- Pozzi Will, Sheffield Justin, Stefanski Robert, Cripe Douglas, Pulwarty Roger, Vogt Jürgen V., Heim Richard R., Brewer Michael J., Svoboda Mark, Westerhoff Rogier, van Dijk Albert I. J. M., Lloyd-Hughes Benjamin, Pappenberger Florian, Werner Micha, Dutra Emanuel, Wetterhall Fredrik, Wagner Wolfgang, Schubert Siegfried, Mo Kingtse, Nicholson Margaret, Bettio Lynette, Nunez Liliana, van Beek Rens, Bierkens Marc, de Goncalves Luis Gustavo Goncalves, de Mattos João Gerd Zell, Lawford Richard (March 2013) Toward Global Drought Early Warning Capability: Expanding International Cooperation for the Development of a Framework for Monitoring and Forecasting, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society n. 6, pp. 776-785. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00176.1
- Pappenberger Florian, Stephens Elisabeth, Thielen Jutta, Salamon Peter, Demeritt David, van Andel Schalk Jan, Wetterhall Fredrik, Alfieri Lorenzo (March 2013) Visualizing probabilistic flood forecast information: expert preferences and perceptions of best practice in uncertainty communication, Hydrological Processes n. 1, pp. 132-146. DOI: 10.1002/hyp.9253
- Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Dutra Emanuel, Cloke Hannah L. (March 2013) Seamless forecasting of extreme events on a global scale, IAHS-AISH publication, pp. 3-10.
- Emanuel Dutra, Michail Diamantakis, Ivan Tsonevsky, Ervin Zsoter, Fredrik Wetterhall, Timothy Stockdale, David Richardson, Florian Pappenberger (June 2013) The extreme forecast index applied to seasonal forecasts, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 703, pp. 24. DOI: 10.21957/m4j70t27c
- Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Dutra Emanuel, Cloke Hannah L. (March 2013) Seamless forecasting of extreme events on a global scale, IAHS-AISH publication, pp. 3-10.
- He Y., Pappenberger F., Manful D., Cloke H., Bates P., Wetterhall F., Parkes B. (March 2013) Flood Inundation Dynamics and Socioeconomic Vulnerability under Environmental Change, Climate Vulnerability: Understanding and Addressing Threats to Essential Resources. DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-12-384703-4.00508-6
- Pappenberger F., Wetterhall F., Dutra E., Di Giuseppe F., Bogner K., Alfieri L., Cloke H.L. (March 2013) Seamless forecasting of extreme events on a global scale, IAHS-AISH Proceedings and Reports.
- 2012
- Wetterhall F., Pappenberger F., He Y., Freer J., Cloke H. L. (March 2012) Conditioning model output statistics of regional climate model precipitation on circulation patterns, Nonlin. Processes Geophys. n. 6, pp. 623-633. DOI: 10.5194/npg-19-623-2012
- Pappenberger F., Dutra E., Wetterhall F., Cloke H. L. (March 2012) Deriving global flood hazard maps of fluvial floods through a physical model cascade, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. n. 11, pp. 4143-4156. DOI: 10.5194/hess-16-4143-2012
- Alfieri Lorenzo, Salamon Peter, Pappenberger Florian, Wetterhall Fredrik, Thielen Jutta (March 2012) Operational early warning systems for water-related hazards in Europe, Environmental Science & Policy, pp. 35-49. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2012.01.008
- Emanuel Dutra, Magnusson L., Fredrik Wetterhall, Hannah L. Cloke, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Souhail Boussetta, Florian Pappenberger (March 2012) Monitoring and forecasting the 2010/11 drought in the Horn of Africa, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 131, pp. 9-11. DOI: 10.21957/6bchg0s5
- Florian Pappenberger, Thielen J., A. de Roo, Roberto Buizza, Blazej Krzeminski, Alfred Hofstadler, Fredrik Wetterhall, Salamon P., Andrew Brady (March 2012) The European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) at ECMWF: towards operational implementation, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 131, pp. 25-30. DOI: 10.21957/4rtv2shc
- 2011
- Bao H. J., Zhao L. N., He Y., Li Z. J., Wetterhall F., Cloke H. L., Pappenberger F., Manful D. (March 2011) Coupling ensemble weather predictions based on TIGGE database with Grid-Xinanjiang model for flood forecast, Adv. Geosci., pp. 61-67. DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-29-61-2011
- Wetterhall F., He Y., Cloke H., Pappenberger F. (March 2011) Effects of temporal resolution of input precipitation on the performance of hydrological forecasting, Adv. Geosci., pp. 21-25. DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-29-21-2011
- Teutschbein Claudia, Wetterhall Fredrik, Seibert Jan (March 2011) Evaluation of different downscaling techniques for hydrological climate-change impact studies at the catchment scale, Climate Dynamics n. 9, pp. 2087-2105. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0979-8
- Pappenberger F., Bogner K., Wetterhall F., He Y., Cloke H. L., Thielen J. (March 2011) Forecast convergence score: a forecaster's approach to analysing hydro-meteorological forecast systems, Adv. Geosci., pp. 27-32. DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-29-27-2011
- Wetterhall F., Graham L. P., Andréasson J., Rosberg J., Yang W. (March 2011) Using ensemble climate projections to assess probabilistic hydrological change in the Nordic region, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. n. 8, pp. 2295-2306. DOI: 10.5194/nhess-11-2295-2011
- 2010
- Cloke H. L., Jeffers C., Wetterhall F., Byrne T., Lowe J., Pappenberger F. (March 2010) Climate impacts on river flow: projections for the Medway catchment, UK, with UKCP09 and CATCHMOD, Hydrological Processes n. 24, pp. 3476-3489. DOI: 10.1002/hyp.7769
- Yang W, Andreasson J, Phil Graham L, Olsson J, Rosberg J, Wetterhall F (March 2010) Distribution-based scaling to improve usability of regional climate model projections for hydrological climate change impacts studies, Hydrology Research n. 3-4, pp. 211-229. DOI: 10.2166/nh.2010.004
- He Yi, Wetterhall Fredrik, Bao Hongjun, Cloke Hannah, Li Zhijia, Pappenberger Florian, Hu Yuzhong, Manful Desmond, Huang Yingchun (March 2010) Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July–September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: a case study, Atmospheric Science Letters n. 2, pp. 132-138. DOI: 10.1002/asl.270
- Clark J. M., Billett M. F., Coyle M., Croft S., Daniels S., Evans C. D., Evans M., Freeman C., Gallego-Sala A. V., Heinemeyer A., House J. I., Monteith D. T., Nayak D., Orr H. G., Prentice I. C., Rose R., Rowson J., Smith J. U., Smith P., Tun Y. M., Vanguelova E., Wetterhall F., Worrall F. (March 2010) Model inter-comparison between statistical and dynamic model assessments of the long-term stability of blanket peat in Great Britain (1940–2099), Climate Research, pp. 227-248. DOI: 10.3354/cr00974
- Maraun D., Wetterhall F., Ireson A. M., Chandler R. E., Kendon E. J., Widmann M., Brienen S., Rust H. W., Sauter T., Theme�l M., Venema V. K. C., Chun K. P., Goodess C. M., Jones R. G., Onof C., Vrac M., Thiele-Eich I. (March 2010) Precipitation downscaling under climate change: Recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user, Rev. Geophys. n. 3, pp. RG3003. DOI: 10.1029/2009RG000314
- 2009
- Wetterhall Fredrik, Bárdossy András, Chen Deliang, Halldin Sven, Xu Chong-yu (March 2009) Statistical downscaling of daily precipitation over Sweden using GCM output, Theoretical and Applied Climatology n. 1, pp. 95-103. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-008-0038-0
- He Y., Wetterhall F., Cloke H. L., Pappenberger F., Wilson M., Freer J., McGregor G. (March 2009) Tracking the uncertainty in flood alerts driven by grand ensemble weather predictions, Meteorological Applications n. 1, pp. 91-101. DOI: 10.1002/met.132
- 2007
- Wetterhall F., Halldin S., Xu C. Y. (March 2007) Seasonality properties of four statistical-downscaling methods in central Sweden, Theoretical and Applied Climatology n. 1, pp. 123-137. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-005-0223-3
- 2006
- Wetterhall Fredrik, B�rdossy Andr�s, Chen Deliang, Halldin Sven, Xu Chong-Yu (March 2006) Daily precipitation-downscaling techniques in three Chinese regions, Water Resour. Res. n. 11, pp. W11423. DOI: 10.1029/2005WR004573
- 2005
- Wetterhall Fredrik, Halldin Sven, Xu Chong-yu (March 2005) Statistical precipitation downscaling in central Sweden with the analogue method, Journal of Hydrology n. 1–4, pp. 174-190. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.09.008