Senior Scientist
Research, Earth System Predictability, Extended Range
Summary:
Chris works on the sub-seasonal/extended-range forecasting system in the Earth System Predictability Section of the Research Department. Chris is particularly interested in the role of air-sea interactions in climate variability and predictability and previously developed coupled climate model configurations of the IFS for the PRIMAVERA and HighResMIP projects.
Professional interests:
- Sub-seasonal/extended-range forecasting
- Coupled Earth system modelling
- Ocean modelling and ocean observations
- Climate variability and predictability
Career background:
- 2019-present, Senior Scientist, Earth System Predictability Section, ECMWF.
- 2016-2019, Scientist, Earth System Predictability Section, ECMWF.
- 2013-2019, Senior Scientist, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK.
- 2014, Visiting Research Scientist, College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
- 2010-2013, Scientist, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK.
- 2009, NERC fellow, Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology (POST), Westminster, UK.
- 2008, Visiting Research Scientist, NASA Goddard Institute of Space Studies (GISS), New York, USA.
Education
- 2006-2010, PhD, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
- 2005-2006, MSci in Natural Sciences, King's College, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
- 2002-2005, BA in Natural Sciences (Physical tripos), King's College, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
- 2025
- Ting-Chen Chen, Hugues Goosse, Matthias Aengenheyster, Kristian Strommen, Christopher Roberts, Malcolm Roberts, Rohit Ghosh, Jin-Song von Storch, Stephy Libera (February 2025) Southern Annular Mode Persistence and Westerly Jet: A Reassessment Using High-Resolution Global Models. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2025-666
- Elsa Mohino, Paul-Arthur Monerie, Juliette Mignot, Moussa Diakhaté, Markus Donat, Christopher David Roberts, Francisco Doblas-Reyes (January 2025) Impact of AMV on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of theWest African Monsoon in DCPP-C-like simulations. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1774
- Jamie Mathews, Arnaud Czaja, Frederic Vitart, Christopher Roberts (January 2025) The Impact of Gulf Stream Moisture Flux Suppression on Atmospheric Blocks. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-3633
- Hao Zuo, Kristian Mogensen, Eric de Boisseson, Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda, Philip Browne, Marcin Chrust, Stephanie Johnson, Sarah Keeley, Christopher Roberts (March 2025) Effects of Argo floats data on the ECMWF Ocean DA system and coupled forecasts . DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu25-11966
- Chris Roberts, Florence Rabier, Johannes Flemming, Stephen English (March 2025) Recent progress and outlook for the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System . DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu25-10861
- Christopher D. Roberts, Martin Leutbecher (April 2025) Unbiased calculation, evaluation, and calibration of ensemble forecast anomalies, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4993
- 2024
- Chris Roberts, Matthias Aengenheyster, Malcolm Roberts (December 2024) Description of EERIE atmosphere-only reference simulations, Zenodo. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.14334611
- Chris Roberts, Matthias Aengenheyster, Malcolm Roberts (December 2024) Description of EERIE atmosphere-only reference simulations, Zenodo. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.14334612
- Jamie Mathews, Arnaud Czaja, Frederic Vitart, Christopher David Roberts (February 2024) Gulf Stream Moisture Fluxes Impact Atmospheric Blocks Throughout the Northern Hemisphere. DOI: 10.22541/essoar.170897104.45485158/v1
- Matthew D. Palmer, Jonathan Gregory, Meike Bagge, Daley Calvert, Jan M Hagedoorn, Tom Howard, Volker Klemann, Jason A. Lowe, Chris Roberts, Aimee Slangen, Giorgio Spada (April 2024) Exploring the drivers of global and local sea‐level change over the 21st century and beyond, Universität Potsdam. DOI: 10.25932/publishup-54988
- Nicholas J. Leach, Christopher D. Roberts, Matthias Aengenheyster, Daniel Heathcote, Dann M. Mitchell, Vikki Thompson, Tim Palmer, Antje Weisheimer, Myles R. Allen (May 2024) Heatwave attribution based on reliable operational weather forecasts, Nature Communications. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-48280-7
- J. P. Mathews, A. Czaja, F. Vitart, C. Roberts (July 2024) Gulf Stream Moisture Fluxes Impact Atmospheric Blocks Throughout the Northern Hemisphere, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1029/2024GL108826
- (October 2024) IFS upgrade improves near-surface wind and temperature forecasts, ECMWF Newsletter n. 181, pp. 16-25. DOI: 10.21957/crx2bn4is8
- Martin Leutbecher, Simon Lang, Sarah-Jane Lock, Chris Roberts, Aristofanis Tsiringakis (April 2024) Improving the physical consistency of ensemble forecasts by using SPP in the IFS, ECMWF. DOI: 10.21957/mlz238dk1p
- Mihai Alexe, Simon Lang, Mariana C A Clare, Martin Leutbecher, Chris Roberts, Linus Magnusson, Matthew Chantry, Rilwan Adewoyin, Ana Prieto-Nemesio, Jesper Sören Dramsch, Florian Pinault, Baudouin Raoult (April 2024) Data-driven ensemble forecasting with the AIFS, ECMWF. DOI: 10.21957/ma3p95hxe2
- Retish Senan, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Franco Molteni, Timothy N. Stockdale, Antje Weisheimer, Stephanie Johnson, Christopher D. Roberts (September 2024) The Relative Role of Indian and Pacific Tropical Heating as Seasonal Predictability Drivers for the North Atlantic Oscillation, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. DOI: 10.1029/2024JD041233
- Chris Roberts, Matthias Aengenheyster, Malcolm Roberts (December 2024) Description of EERIE idealised atmosphere-only simulations, Zenodo. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.14514509
- Chris Roberts, Matthias Aengenheyster, Malcolm Roberts (December 2024) Description of EERIE idealised atmosphere-only simulations, Zenodo. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.14514510
- 2023
- Steven Woolnough, Frederic Vitart, Andrew Robertson, Caio A. S. Coelho, R. Lee, Hai Lin, Arun Kumar, Cristiana Stan, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, N. Caltabiano, Munehiko Yamaguchi, Hilla Afargan-Gerstman, Victoria L. Boult, Fernando Andrade, Dominik Büeler, Aude Carréric, Diego J. Dı́az, Jonathan Day, Joshua Dorrington, Marc Feldmann, Jason Furtado, Christian M. Grams, Randal Koster, Linda Hirons, Victor S. Indasi, Pragati Jadhav, Yule Liu, Patricia Nying'uro, Chris Roberts, Emmanuel Rouges, Jungho Ryu (December 2023) Celebrating 10 years of the Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project and looking to the future, OpenAlex. DOI: 10.60692/b1b0y-cp805
- 2022
- Frederic Vitart, Rebecca Emerton, Mark John Rodwell, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Thomas Haiden, Stephanie Johnson, Linus Magnusson, Chris Roberts, irina sandu (January 2022) Investigating biases in the representation of the Pacific sub-tropical jet stream and associated teleconnections (a UGROW sub-project), ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 889. DOI: 10.21957/jcfqpdr2
- Michael Mayer, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Stephanie Johnson, Linus Magnusson, Chris Roberts, Hao Zuo (June 2022) Outcomes from UGROW-IO: Forecast errors in the Eastern Indian Ocean across lead times, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 898. DOI: 10.21957/q4v6n81vl
- Torben Koenigk, Ramon Fuentes-Franco, Virna L. Meccia, Oliver Gutjahr, Laura C. Jackson, Adrian L. New, Pablo Ortega, Christopher D. Roberts, Malcolm J. Roberts, Thomas Arsouze, Doroteaciro Iovino, Marie-Pierre Moine, Dmitry V. Sein (January 2022) Correction to: Deep mixed ocean volume in the Labrador Sea in HighResMIP models, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-06097-w
- Christopher D. Roberts, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Steffen Tietsche, Frederic Vitart (October 2022) Sensitivity of ECMWF coupled forecasts to improved initialization of the ocean mesoscale, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4383
- Steve Delhaye, Thierry Fichefet, François Massonnet, David Docquier, Rym Msadek, Svenya Chripko, Christopher Roberts, Sarah Keeley, Retish Senan (May 2022) Summertime changes in climate extremes over the peripheral Arctic regions after a sudden sea ice retreat, Weather and Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.5194/wcd-3-555-2022
- Eduardo Moreno-Chamarro, Louis-Philippe Caron, Saskia Loosveldt Tomas, Javier Vegas-Regidor, Oliver Gutjahr, Marie-Pierre Moine, Dian Putrasahan, Christopher D. Roberts, Malcolm J. Roberts, Retish Senan, Laurent Terray, Etienne Tourigny, Pier Luigi Vidale (January 2022) Impact of increased resolution on long-standing biases in HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA climate models, Geoscientific Model Development. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-15-269-2022
- 2021
- Torben Koenigk, Ramon Fuentes-Franco, Virna L. Meccia, Oliver Gutjahr, Laura C. Jackson, Adrian L. New, Pablo Ortega, Christopher D. Roberts, Malcolm J. Roberts, Thomas Arsouze, Doroteaciro Iovino, Marie-Pierre Moine, Dmitry V. Sein (October 2021) Deep mixed ocean volume in the Labrador Sea in HighResMIP models, Climate Dynamics n. 7-8, pp. 1895-1918. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05785-x
- Mark John Rodwell, Michail Diamantakis, Peter Dueben, Martin Janousek, Simon Lang, Inna Polichtchouk, Fernando Prates, Chris Roberts, Filip Vána (July 2021) IFS upgrade provides more skilful ensemble forecasts, ECMWF Newsletter, issue 168, pp. 18-23. DOI: 10.21957/m830hnz27r
- Eduardo Moreno-Chamarro, Louis-Philippe Caron, Saskia Loosveldt Tomas, Oliver Gutjahr, Marie-Pierre Moine, Dian Putrasahan, Christopher D. Roberts, Malcolm J. Roberts, Retish Senan, Laurent Terray, Etienne Tourigny, Pier Luigi Vidale (June 2021) Impact of increased resolution on long-standing biases in HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA climate models. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2021-209
- Eduardo Moreno-Chamarro, Louis-Philippe Caron, Saskia Loosveldt Tomas, Oliver Gutjahr, Marie-Pierre Moine, Dian Putrasahan, Christopher D. Roberts, Malcolm J. Roberts, Retish Senan, Laurent Terray, Etienne Tourigny, Pier Luigi Vidale (June 2021) Supplementary material to "Impact of increased resolution on long-standing biases in HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA climate models". DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2021-209-supplement
- C. D. Roberts, F. Vitart, M. A. Balmaseda (February 2021) Hemispheric Impact of North Atlantic SSTs in Subseasonal Forecasts, Geophysical Research Letters n. 4. DOI: 10.1029/2020GL091446
- Paolo Davini, Antje Weisheimer, Magdalena Balmaseda, Stephanie J. Johnson, Franco Molteni, Christopher D. Roberts, Retish Senan, Timothy N. Stockdale (January 2021) The representation of winter Northern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking in ECMWF seasonal prediction systems, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3974
- Chris Roberts, Frederic Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda (March 2021) Remote impact of North Atlantic sea surface temperature errors in sub‐seasonal forecasts. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-846
- Simon T. K. Lang, Andrew Dawson, Michail Diamantakis, Peter Dueben, Samuel Hatfield, Martin Leutbecher, Tim Palmer, Fernando Prates, Christopher D. Roberts, Irina Sandu, Nils Wedi (October 2021) More accuracy with less precision, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society n. 741, pp. 4358-4370. DOI: 10.1002/qj.4181
- Steve Delhaye, Thierry Fichefet, François Massonnet, David Docquier, Rym Msadek, Svenya Chripko, Christopher Roberts, Sarah Keeley, Retish Senan (December 2021) Summertime changes in climate extremes over the peripheral Arctic regions after a sudden sea ice retreat. DOI: 10.5194/wcd-2021-80
- 2020
- Chris Roberts, Antje Weisheimer, Stephanie Johnson, Timothy Stockdale, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Philip Browne, Andrew Dawson, Martin Leutbecher, Frederic Vitart (January 2020) Reduced-resolution ocean configurations for efficient testing with the ECMWF coupled model, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 858. DOI: 10.21957/6fz18mn9r
- (January 2020) The timescale-dependent response of the wintertime North Atlantic to increased ocean model resolution in a coupled forecast model, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0235.1
- (January 2020) Impact of model resolution on tropical cyclone simulation using the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA multi-model ensemble, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0639.1
- Torben Koenigk, Ramon Fuentes-Franco, Virna Meccia, Oliver Gutjahr, Laura C. Jackson, Adrian L. New, Pablo Ortega, Christopher Roberts, Malcolm Roberts, Thomas Arsouze, Doroteaciro Iovino, Marie-Pierre Moine, Dmitry V. Sein (May 2020) Deep water formation in the North Atlantic Ocean in high resolution global coupled climate models. DOI: 10.5194/os-2020-41
- Malcolm J. Roberts, Laura C. Jackson, Christopher D. Roberts, Virna Meccia, David Docquier, Torben Koenigk, Pablo Ortega, Eduardo Moreno‐Chamarro, Alessio Bellucci, Andrew Coward, Sybren Drijfhout, Eleftheria Exarchou, Oliver Gutjahr, Helene Hewitt, Doroteaciro Iovino, Katja Lohmann, Dian Putrasahan, Reinhard Schiemann, Jon Seddon, Laurent Terray, Xiaobiao Xu, Qiuying Zhang, Ping Chang, Stephen G. Yeager, Frederic S. Castruccio, Shaoqing Zhang, Lixin Wu (August 2020) Sensitivity of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to Model Resolution in CMIP6 HighResMIP Simulations and Implications for Future Changes, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. DOI: 10.1029/2019MS002014
- Bador Margot, Boe Julien, Terray Laurent, Alexander Lisa V, Baker Alexander, Bellucci Alessio, Haarsma Rein, Koenigk Torben, Moine Marie-Pierre, Lohmann Katja, Putrasahan Dian A., Roberts Chris, Roberts Malcolm, Scoccimarro Enrico, Schiemann Reinhard, Seddon Jon, Senan Retish, Valcke Sophie, Vanniere Benoit (April 2020) Impact of Higher Spatial Atmospheric Resolution on Precipitation Extremes Over Land in Global Climate Models, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. DOI: 10.1029/2019JD032184
- Molteni Franco, Roberts Christopher D., Senan Retish, Keeley Sarah P. E., Bellucci Alessio, Corti Susanna, Franco Ramon Fuentes, Haarsma Rein, Levine Xavier, Putrasahan Dian, Roberts Malcolm J., Terray Laurent (April 2020) Boreal-winter teleconnections with tropical Indo-Pacific rainfall in HighResMIP historical simulations from the PRIMAVERA project, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/S00382-020-05358-4
- Reinhard Schiemann, Panos Athanasiadis, David Barriopedro, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Katja Lohmann, Malcolm J. Roberts, Dmitry V. Sein, Christopher D. Roberts, Laurent Terray, Pier Luigi Vidale (June 2020) Northern Hemisphere blocking simulation in current climate models: evaluating progress from the Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 to 6 and sensitivity to resolution, Weather and Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.5194/wcd-1-277-2020
- M. D. Palmer, J. M. Gregory, M. Bagge, D. Calvert, J. M. Hagedoorn, T. Howard, V. Klemann, J. A. Lowe, C. D. Roberts, A. B. A. Slangen, G. Spada (September 2020) Exploring the Drivers of Global and Local Sea‐Level Change Over the 21st Century and Beyond, Earth's Future. DOI: 10.1029/2019EF001413
- Chris Roberts, Frederic Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda, Franco Molteni (March 2020) Impacts of ocean model resolution in S2S forecasts with the ECMWF coupled model. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-3565
- Dorotea Iovino, Malcolm J. Roberts, Laura C. Jackson, Christopher D. Roberts, Virna Meccia, David Docquier, Torben Koenigk, Pablo Ortega, Eduardo Moreno-Chamarro, Alessio Bellucci, Andrew Coward, Sybren Drijfhout, Eleftheria Exarchou, Oliver Gutjahr, Helene Hewitt, Katja Lohmann, Reinhard Schiemann, Jon Seddon, Laurent Terray, Xiaobiao Xu (March 2020) Sensitivity of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to Model Resolution in CMIP6 HighResMIP Simulations. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-18216
- Julien Boé, Laurent Terray, Marie-Pierre Moine, Sophie Valcke, Alessio Bellucci, Sybren Drijfhout, Rein Haarsma, Katja Lohmann, Dian A. Putrasahan, Chris Roberts, Malcom Roberts, Enrico Scoccimarro, Jon Seddon, Retish Senan, Klaus Wyser (August 2020) Past long-term summer warming over western Europe in new generation climate models: role of large-scale atmospheric circulation, Environmental Research Letters. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab8a89
- Malcolm J Roberts, Alessio Bellucci, Benoit Vannière, Joanne Camp, Christopher David Roberts, Dian Putrashan, Jennifer Veronika Mecking, Kevin Hodges, Laurent Terray, Louis-Philippe Caron, Pier Luigi Vidale, Rein Haarsma, Retish Senan, Jon Seddon, Marie-Pierre Moine, Chihiro Kodama, Yohei Yamada, Colin M. Zarzycki, Paul Ullrich, Ryo Mizuta, Dan Fu, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Lixin Wu, Nan A. Rosenbloom, Qiuying Zhang, Enrico Scoccimarro, Fabrice Chauvin, Sophie Valcke, Hong Wang (May 2020) Projected Future Changes in Tropical Cyclones using the CMIP6 HighResMIP Multi-model Ensemble. DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10503125.1
- Gao Jiaxiang, Minobe Shoshiro, Malcolm J Roberts, Rein Haarsma, Dian Putrasahan, Christopher D Roberts, Enrico Scoccimarro, Laurent Terray, Benoît Vannière, Pier Luigi Vidale (August 2020) Influence of model resolution on bomb cyclones revealed by HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA simulations, Environmental Research Letters n. 8, pp. 084001. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab88fa
- Reinhard Schiemann, Panos Athanasiadis, David Barriopedro, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Katja Lohmann, Malcolm J. Roberts, Dmitry Sein, Christopher D. Roberts, Laurent Terray, Pier Luigi Vidale (January 2020) Supplementary material to "The representation of Northern Hemisphere blocking in current global climate models". DOI: 10.5194/wcd-2019-19-supplement
- Reinhard Schiemann, Panos Athanasiadis, David Barriopedro, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Katja Lohmann, Malcolm J. Roberts, Dmitry Sein, Christopher D. Roberts, Laurent Terray, Pier Luigi Vidale (January 2020) The representation of Northern Hemisphere blocking in current global climate models. DOI: 10.5194/wcd-2019-19
- 2019
- Frederic Vitart, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Laura Ferranti, Angela Benedetti, Beena Balan Sarojini, Steffen Tietsche, Junchen Yao, Martin Janousek, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Martin Leutbecher, Peter Bechtold, Inna Polichtchouk, David Richardson, Timothy Stockdale, Chris Roberts (November 2019) Extended-range prediction, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 854. DOI: 10.21957/pdivp3t9m
- (December 2019) The Mean State and Variability of the North Atlantic Circulation: A Perspective From Ocean Reanalyses, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. DOI: 10.1029/2019jc015210
- (June 2019) Description of the resolution hierarchy of the global coupled HadGEM3-GC3.1 model as used in CMIP6 HighResMIP experiments, []. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2019-148
- Vannière B., Demory M.-E., Vidale P.L., Schiemann R., Roberts M.J., Roberts C.D., Matsueda M., Terray L., Koenigk T., Senan R. (April 2019) Multi-model evaluation of the sensitivity of the global energy budget and hydrological cycle to resolution, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4547-y
- Garry F.K., McDonagh E.L., Blaker A.T., Roberts C.D., Desbruyères D.G., Frajka-Williams E., King B.A. (April 2019) Model-Derived Uncertainties in Deep Ocean Temperature Trends Between 1990 and 2010, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. DOI: 10.1029/2018JC014225
- Grist J.P., Sinha B., Hewitt H.T., Duchez A., MacLachlan C., Hyder P., Josey S.A., Hirschi J.J.-M., Blaker A.T., New A.L., Scaife A.A., Roberts C.D. (April 2019) Re-emergence of North Atlantic subsurface ocean temperature anomalies in a seasonal forecast system, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04826-w
- Anna Thomas M., Devasthale A., Koenigk T., Wyser K., Roberts M., Roberts C., Lohmann K. (April 2019) A statistical and process-oriented evaluation of cloud radiative effects in high-resolution global models, Geoscientific Model Development. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-1679-2019
- Docquier D., Grist J.P., Roberts M.J., Roberts C.D., Semmler T., Ponsoni L., Massonnet F., Sidorenko D., Sein D.V., Iovino D., Bellucci A., Fichefet T. (April 2019) Impact of model resolution on Arctic sea ice and North Atlantic Ocean heat transport, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04840-y
- Fraser R., Palmer M., Roberts C., Wilson C., Copsey D., Zanna L. (April 2019) Investigating the predictability of North Atlantic sea surface height, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04814-0
- Roberts M.J., Baker A., Blockley E.W., Calvert D., Coward A., Hewitt H.T., Jackson L.C., Kuhlbrodt T., Mathiot P., Roberts C.D., Schiemann R., Seddon J., Vannière B., Luigi Vidale P. (April 2019) Description of the resolution hierarchy of the global coupled HadGEM3-GC3.1 model as used in CMIP6 HighResMIP experiments, Geoscientific Model Development. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-4999-2019
- L C Allison, C D Roberts, M D Palmer, L Hermanson, R E Killick, N A Rayner, D M Smith, M B Andrews (August 2019) Towards quantifying uncertainty in ocean heat content changes using synthetic profiles, Environmental Research Letters n. 8, pp. 084037. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab2b0b
- 2018
- (July 2018) Cdr30/Rapidmoc: Rapidmoc V1.0.2. DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.1306104
- Chris Roberts, R. Senan, Franco Molteni, Souhail Boussetta, Sarah Keeley (April 2018) ECMWF ECMWF-IFS-MR model output prepared for CMIP6 HighResMIP, Earth System Grid Federation. DOI: 10.22033/esgf/cmip6.2465
- Chris Roberts, R. Senan, Franco Molteni, Souhail Boussetta, Sarah Keeley (April 2018) ECMWF ECMWF-IFS-LR model output prepared for CMIP6 HighResMIP control-1950, Earth System Grid Federation. DOI: 10.22033/esgf/cmip6.4946
- Chris Roberts, R. Senan, Franco Molteni, Souhail Boussetta, Sarah Keeley (April 2018) ECMWF ECMWF-IFS-MR model output prepared for CMIP6 HighResMIP control-1950, Earth System Grid Federation. DOI: 10.22033/esgf/cmip6.4947
- Chris Roberts, R. Senan, Franco Molteni, Souhail Boussetta, Sarah Keeley (April 2018) ECMWF ECMWF-IFS-LR model output prepared for CMIP6 HighResMIP hist-1950, Earth System Grid Federation. DOI: 10.22033/esgf/cmip6.4982
- Timothy Stockdale, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Stephanie Johnson, Laura Ferranti, Franco Molteni, Linus Magnusson, Steffen Tietsche, Frederic Vitart, Damien Decremer, Antje Weisheimer, Chris Roberts, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Sarah Keeley, Kristian S. Mogensen, Hao Zuo, Michael Mayer, B.M. Monge-Sanz (November 2018) SEAS5 and the future evolution of the long-range forecast system, ECMWF Technical Memoranda n. 835. DOI: 10.21957/z3e92di7y
- Roberts C.D., Senan R., Molteni F., Boussetta S., Mayer M., Keeley S.P.E. (April 2018) Climate model configurations of the ecmwf integrated forecasting system (ecmwf-ifs cycle 43r1) for highresmip, Geoscientific Model Development. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-3681-2018
- Menary M.B., Kuhlbrodt T., Ridley J., Andrews M.B., Dimdore-Miles O.B., Deshayes J., Eade R., Gray L., Ineson S., Mignot J., Roberts C.D., Robson J., Wood R.A., Xavier P. (April 2018) Preindustrial Control Simulations With HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. DOI: 10.1029/2018MS001495
- Hyder P., Edwards J.M., Allan R.P., Hewitt H.T., Bracegirdle T.J., Gregory J.M., Wood R.A., Meijers A.J.S., Mulcahy J., Field P., Furtado K., Bodas-Salcedo A., Williams K.D., Copsey D., Josey S.A., Liu C., Roberts C.D., Sanchez C., Ridley J., Thorpe L., Hardiman S.C., Mayer M., Berry D.I., Belcher S.E. (April 2018) Erratum to: Critical Southern Ocean climate model biases traced to atmospheric model cloud errors (Nature Communications, (2018), 9, 1, (3625), 10.1038/s41467-018-05634-2), Nature Communications. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-06662-8
- Hyder P., Edwards J.M., Allan R.P., Hewitt H.T., Bracegirdle T.J., Gregory J.M., Wood R.A., Meijers A.J.S., Mulcahy J., Field P., Furtado K., Bodas-Salcedo A., Williams K.D., Copsey D., Josey S.A., Liu C., Roberts C.D., Sanchez C., Ridley J., Thorpe L., Hardiman S.C., Mayer M., Berry D.I., Belcher S.E. (April 2018) Critical Southern Ocean climate model biases traced to atmospheric model cloud errors, Nature Communications. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05634-2
- Chris Roberts (July 2018) Author response to reviewer comments. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2018-90-AC1
- Manu Anna Thomas, Abhay Devasthale, Torben Koenigk, Klaus Wyser, Malcolm Roberts, Christopher Roberts, Katja Lohmann (November 2018) A statistical and process oriented evaluation of cloud radiative effects in high resolution global models. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2018-221
- Christopher D. Roberts, Retish Senan, Franco Molteni, Souhail Boussetta, Michael Mayer, Sarah Keeley (April 2018) Climate model configurations of the ECMWF Integrated Forecast System (ECMWF-IFS cycle 43r1) for HighResMIP. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2018-90
- 2017
- (October 2017) Cdr30/Synthpro: Synthpro V1.0.0. DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.1036333
- Palmer M.D., Roberts C.D., Balmaseda M., Chang Y.-S., Chepurin G., Ferry N., Fujii Y., Good S.A., Guinehut S., Haines K., Hernandez F., Köhl A., Lee T., Martin M.J., Masina S., Masuda S., Peterson K.A., Storto A., Toyoda T., Valdivieso M., Vernieres G., Wang O., Xue Y. (April 2017) Ocean heat content variability and change in an ensemble of ocean reanalyses, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2801-0
- Meyssignac B., Slangen A.B.A., Melet A., Church J.A., Fettweis X., Marzeion B., Agosta C., Ligtenberg S.R.M., Spada G., Richter K., Palmer M.D., Roberts C.D., Champollion N. (April 2017) Evaluating model simulations of twentieth-century sea-level rise. Part II: Regional sea-level changes, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0112.1
- Roberts C.D., Palmer M.D., Allan R.P., Desbruyeres D.G., Hyder P., Liu C., Smith D. (April 2017) Surface flux and ocean heat transport convergence contributions to seasonal and interannual variations of ocean heat content, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. DOI: 10.1002/2016JC012278
- Slangen A.B.A., Meyssignac B., Agosta C., Champollion N., Church J.A., Fettweis X., Ligtenberg S.R.M., Marzeion B., Melet A., Palmer M.D., Richter K., Roberts C.D., Spada G. (April 2017) Evaluating model simulations of twentieth-century sea level rise. Part I: Global mean sea level change, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0110.1
- Liu C., Allan R.P., Mayer M., Hyder P., Loeb N.G., Roberts C.D., Valdivieso M., Edwards J.M., Vidale P.-L. (April 2017) Evaluation of satellite and reanalysis-based global net surface energy flux and uncertainty estimates, Journal of Geophysical Research. DOI: 10.1002/2017JD026616
- Chris Roberts, R. Senan, Franco Molteni, Souhail Boussetta, Sarah Keeley (April 2017) ECMWF ECMWF-IFS-LR model output prepared for CMIP6 HighResMIP, Earth System Grid Federation. DOI: 10.22033/esgf/cmip6.2463
- Chris Roberts, R. Senan, Franco Molteni, Souhail Boussetta, Sarah Keeley (April 2017) ECMWF ECMWF-IFS-HR model output prepared for CMIP6 HighResMIP control-1950, Earth System Grid Federation. DOI: 10.22033/esgf/cmip6.4945
- Chris Roberts, R. Senan, Franco Molteni, Souhail Boussetta, Sarah Keeley (April 2017) ECMWF ECMWF-IFS-HR model output prepared for CMIP6 HighResMIP, Earth System Grid Federation. DOI: 10.22033/esgf/cmip6.2461
- Chris Roberts, R. Senan, Franco Molteni, Souhail Boussetta, Sarah Keeley (April 2017) ECMWF ECMWF-IFS-HR model output prepared for CMIP6 HighResMIP hist-1950, Earth System Grid Federation. DOI: 10.22033/esgf/cmip6.4981
- 2016
- Jackson L.C., Peterson K.A., Roberts C.D., Wood R.A. (April 2016) Recent slowing of Atlantic overturning circulation as a recovery from earlier strengthening, Nature Geoscience. DOI: 10.1038/ngeo2715
- Roberts C.D., Calvert D., Dunstone N., Hermanson L., Palmer M.D., Smith D. (April 2016) On the drivers and predictability of seasonal-to-interannual variations in regional sea level, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0886.1
- Carmichael M.J., Lunt D.J., Huber M., Heinemann M., Kiehl J., LeGrande A., Loptson C.A., Roberts C.D., Sagoo N., Shields C., Valdes P.J., Winguth A., Winguth C., Pancost R.D. (April 2016) A model-model and data-model comparison for the early Eocene hydrological cycle, Climate of the Past. DOI: 10.5194/cp-12-455-2016
- 2015
- Smith D.M., Allan R.P., Coward A.C., Eade R., Hyder P., Liu C., Loeb N.G., Palmer M.D., Roberts C.D., Scaife A.A. (April 2015) Earth's energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062669
- Roberts C.D., Palmer M.D., McNeall D., Collins M. (April 2015) Quantifying the likelihood of a continued hiatus in global warming, Nature Climate Change. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2531
- Carmichael M.J., Lunt D.J., Huber M., Heinemann M., Kiehl J., LeGrande A., Loptson C.A., Roberts C.D., Sagoo N., Shields C., Valdes P.J., Winguth A., Winguth C., Pancost R.D. (April 2015) Insights into the early Eocene hydrological cycle from an ensemble of atmosphere-ocean GCM simulations, Climate of the Past Discussions. DOI: 10.5194/cpd-11-3277-2015
- M. J. Carmichael, D. J. Lunt, M. Huber, M. Heinemann, J. Kiehl, A. LeGrande, C. A. Loptson, C. D. Roberts, N. Sagoo, C. Shields, P. J. Valdes, A. Winguth, C. Winguth, R. D. Pancost (July 2015) Supplementary material to "Insights into the early Eocene hydrological cycle from an ensemble of atmosphere–ocean GCM simulations". DOI: 10.5194/cpd-11-3277-2015-supplement
- 2014
- Roberts C.D., Jackson L., McNeall D. (April 2014) Is the 2004-2012 reduction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation significant?, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1002/2014GL059473
- 2013
- Cunningham S.A., Roberts C.D., Frajka-Williams E., Johns W.E., Hobbs W., Palmer M.D., Rayner D., Smeed D.A., McCarthy G. (April 2013) Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation slowdown cooled the subtropical ocean, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1002/2013GL058464
- Roberts C.D., Waters J., Peterson K.A., Palmer M.D., McCarthy G.D., Frajka-Williams E., Haines K., Lea D.J., Martin M.J., Storkey D., Blockley E.W., Zuo H. (April 2013) Atmosphere drives recent interannual variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1002/grl.50930
- Menary M.B., Roberts C.D., Palmer M.D., Halloran P.R., Jackson L., Wood R.A., Müller W.A., Matei D., Lee S.-K. (April 2013) Mechanisms of aerosol-forced AMOC variability in a state of the art climate model, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. DOI: 10.1002/jgrc.20178
- Roberts C.D., Garry F.K., Jackson L.C. (April 2013) A multimodel study of sea surface temperature and subsurface density fingerprints of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00762.1
- 2012
- Lunt D.J., Jones T.D., Heinemann M., Huber M., LeGrande A., Winguth A., Loptson C., Marotzke J., Roberts C.D., Tindall J., Valdes P., Winguth C. (April 2012) A model-data comparison for a multi-model ensemble of early Eocene atmosphere-ocean simulations: EoMIP, Climate of the Past. DOI: 10.5194/cp-8-1717-2012
- McCarthy G., Frajka-Williams E., Johns W.E., Baringer M.O., Meinen C.S., Bryden H.L., Rayner D., Duchez A., Roberts C., Cunningham S.A. (April 2012) Observed interannual variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N, Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1029/2012GL052933
- Roberts C.D., Palmer M.D. (April 2012) Detectability of changes to the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in the Hadley Centre Climate Models, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1306-3
- 2011
- Tripati A.K., Roberts C.D., Eagle R.A., Li G. (April 2011) A 20 million year record of planktic foraminiferal B/Ca ratios: Systematics and uncertainties in pCO2 reconstructions, Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta. DOI: 10.1016/j.gca.2011.01.018