next → Preface Title Author Preface Antje Weisheimer, Florian Pappenberger, Ian Shipsey Tim Palmer: Mathematical physicist, climate dynamicist, poet, band leader Jagadish Shukla Ensembles and probabilities in the 1980s: Pioneering the use of dynamical ensembles in real-time monthly predictions James Murphy Representing uncertainty in initial conditions: experimentation from lagged average forecasting to singular vectors Franco Molteni The ECMWF initial ensemble perturbation strategy Roberto Buizza Evaluation of ensemble forecasts David Richardson Tim’s legacy to ECMWF and many of us Laura Ferranti How ensemble forecasts enhance the energy sector Isla Finney Sensitivity to initial conditions and external forcing in climate predictions Susanna Corti Some thoughts on the contributions of Tim Palmer Peter Webster Ensemble forecasting for anticipatory humanitarian action Liz Stephens Ensemble forecasts at ECMWF in the presence and future Peter Düben Side-stepping ‘futility’: Tim Palmer on energy-momentum in general relativity Harvey Brown Rossby-wave breaking and all that: Tim Palmer and the Stratosphere Peter Haynes The tropics and tropical-extratropical interactions Julia Slingo Recollections from our early years in the Met Office Glenn Shutts Projectability Brian Hoskins Stochastic parametrisations in weather and climate Judith Berner The benefits of a seamless approach to prediction Mark Rodwell On the response of Euro-Atlantic regimes to forcing and the Palmer Hypothesis Kristian Strommen Imprecise, not inaccurate, weather forecasting Matthew Chantry, Milan Klöwer The path to km-scale climate modelling Bjorn Stevens Tim’s adventures in quantum mechanics Sabine Hossenfelder Human creativity, free will and consciousness Jonathan Mason Epilogue Antje Weisheimer Image Gallery References ↑ top next → Preface