TY - SLIDE KW - workshop KW - model uncertainty AU - Roberto Buizza AB -

Outline

  1. The context: ‘think ensemble’
  2. Should ensembles simulate model uncertainties?
  3. Aiming for consistency in the ECMWF ensembles
  4. Recommendations from past WSs (2005/2007/2011)
  5. Conclusions
     
C1 - Events DA - 2016 LA - eng N2 -

Outline

  1. The context: ‘think ensemble’
  2. Should ensembles simulate model uncertainties?
  3. Aiming for consistency in the ECMWF ensembles
  4. Recommendations from past WSs (2005/2007/2011)
  5. Conclusions
     
PY - 2016 TI - Weather prediction in a world of uncertainties: should we care about model uncertainty? ER -