List of ECMWF Publications

The list of my Research Department Technical Memoranda and Newsletter articles is reported hereafter. They can can be downloaded from the ECMWF library page, or a printed copy can be requested by writing to: The library, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2 9AX, UK.

• ECMWF RD Technical Memoranda
• ECMWF Newsletter articles

ECMWF RD Technical Memoranda

• Hagedorn, R., R. Buizza, T. M. Hamill, M. Leutbecher & T.N. Palmer, 2012:Comparing TIGGE multi-model forecasts with reforecast-calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 663, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 27.

• Molteni, F., T. Stockdale, M. Balmaseda, G. Balsamo, R. Buizza, L. Ferranti, L. Magnusson, K. Mogensen, T. Palmer & F. Vitart, 2011: The new ECMWF seasonal forecast system (System 4). ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 656, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 51.

• Rodwell, M.J. , T.Jung, P. Bechtold, P. Berrisford, N. Bormann, C. Cardinali, L. Ferranti, T. Hewson, F. Molteni, N. Wedi, M.A. Balmaseda, G. Balsamo, M. Bonavita, R. Buizza, M. Dahoui, A. Garcia-Mendez ,M. Leutbecher, P. Lopez, Y. Trémolet & F. Vitart, 2010:
  Developments in diagnostics research. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 637, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 49.

• Isaksen, L., Bonavita, M., Buizza, R., Fisher, M., Haseler, J., Leutbecher, & Raynaud, L., 2010: Ensemble Data Assimilations at ECMWF. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 636, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 45.

• Buizza, R., 2010: Horizontal resolution impact on short- and long-range forecast error. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 626, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 18.

• Buizza, R., 2010: Impact of truncation on variable resolution forecasts. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 614, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 28.

• Buizza, R., 2009: The value of a variable resolution approach to numerical weather prediction. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 605, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 24.

• Palmer, T. N., Buizza, R., Doblas-Reyes, F., Jung, T., Leutbecher, M., Shutts, G. J., Steinheimer M., & Weisheimer, A., 2009: Stochastic parametrization and model uncertainty. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 598, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 42.

• Wu, C.-C., Chen, J.-H., Majumdar, S. J., Peng, M. S., Reynolds, C. A., Aberson, S. D., Buizza, R., Yamaguchi, M., Chen, S.-G., Nakazawa, T., & Chou, K.-H., 2009: Inter-comparison of targeted observation guiidance for tropical cyclones in the north western Pacific. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 582, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 29.

• Buizza, R., 2008: Comparison of a 51-member low-resolution (TL399L62) ensemble with a 6-member high-resolution (TL799L91) lagged-forecast ensemble. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 559, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 25.

• Pappenberger, F., & Buizza, R., 2008: The skill of ECMWF precipitation and temperature predictions in the Danube basin as forcings of hydrological models. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 558, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 21.

• Taylor, J., McSharry, P. E., & Buizza, R., 2008: Wind power density forecasting using ensemble predictions and time series models. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 553, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 15.

• Park, Y.-Y., Buizza, R., & Leutbecher, M., 2008: TIGGE: preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 548, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 43.

• Palmer, T N, Buizza, R., Leutbecher, M., Hagedorn, R., Jung, T., Rodwell, M, Virat, F., Berner, J., Hagel, E., Lawrence, A., Pappenberger, F., Park, Y.-Y., van Bremen, L., Gilmour, I., & Smith, L., 2007: The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System: recent and on-going developments. A paper presented at the 36th Session of the ECMWF Scientific Advisory Committee. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 540, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 53.

• Buizza, R., Asensio, H., Balint, G., Bartholmes, J., Bliefernicht, J., Bogner, K., Chavaux, F., de Roo, A., Donnadille, J., Ducrocq, V., Edlund, C., Kotroni, V., Krahe, P., Kunz, M., Lacire, K., Lelay, M., Marsigli, C., Milelli, M., Montani, A., Pappenberger, F., Rabufetti, D., Ramos, M.-H., Ritter, B., Schipper, J. W., Steiner, P., Thielen-Del Pozzo, J., and Vincendon, B., 2007: EURORISK/PREVIEW report on the technical quality, functional quality and forecast value of meteorological and hydrological forecasts. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 516, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 21.

• Cardinali, C., Buizza, R., Kelly, G., Shapiro, M., & Thepaut, J.-N., 2007: The value of targeted observations - Part III: influence of different weather regimes. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 513, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 13.

• Buizza, R., Cardinali, C., Kelly, G., & Thepaut, J.-N., 2007: The value of targeted observations - Part II: the value of observations taken in singular vectors based target areas. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 512, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 33.

• Kelly, G., Thepaut, J.-N., Buizza, R., & Cardinali, C., 2007: The value of targeted observations - Part I: data denial experiments for the Atlantic and the Pacific. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 511, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 27.

• Brancovic, C., Matiacic, B., Ivatek-Sahden, S., and Buizza, R., 2007: Dynamical downscaling of ECMWF EPS forecasts applied to cases of severe weather in Croatia. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 507, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 38.

• Richardson, D., Bidlot, J., Buizza, R., Ferranti, L., Ghelli, A., van der Grijn, G., Vitart, F., & Zsoter, E., 2006: Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2005-2006. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 504, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 42.

• Malguzzi, P, Grossi, G, Buzzi, A, Ranzi, R, & Buizza, R, 2006: The 1966 'century' flood in Italy: a meteorological-hydrological revisitation. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 500, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 21.

• Buizza, R., J-R. Bidlot, N. Wedi, M. Fuentes, M. Hamrud, G. Holt, T. Palmer and F. Vitart, 2006: The new ECMWF Variable Resolution Ensemble Prediction System (VAREPS): methodology and validation. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 499, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 32.

• Majumdar, S. J., Aberson, S. D., Bishop, C. H., Buizza, R., Peng, M. S. & Reynolds, C. A., 2005: A comparison of adaptive observing guidance for Atlantic tropical cyclones. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 482, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 24.

• Bourke, W, Buizza, R., & Naughton, M, 2004: Performance of the ECMWF and BoM ensemble systems in the Southern Hemisphere. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 440, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 30.

• Cardinali, C., & Buizza, R., 2003: Forecast skill of targeted observations: a singular vector based diagnostic. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 400, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 18.

• Coutinho, M. M., Hoskins, B. J., & Buizza, R., 2003: The influence of physical processes on extratropical singular vectors. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 398, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 19.

• Taylor, J. W., & Buizza, R., 2003: A comparison of temperature density forecasts from GARCH and atmospheric models. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 394, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 20.

• Buizza, R., Richardson, D. S., & Palmer, T. N., 2003: Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor-man's ensembles. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 389, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 20.

• Majumdar, S., Bishop, C., Buizza, R., & Gelaro, R., 2002: A comparison of ETKF targeting guidance with ECMWF and NRL TE-SVs targeting guidance. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 368, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 23.

• Buizza, R., & Hollingsworth, A., 2002: Storm prediction over Europe using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 356, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK. pp. 26.

• Buizza, R., & Chessa, P., 2002: Prediction of the US-storm of 24-26 January 2000 with the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 355, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 38.

• Palmer, T. N., Barkmeijer, J., Buizza, R., Jakob, C., Lalaurette, F., Paccagnella, T., & Richardson, D., 2001: Severe Weather Prediction. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 352, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 59.

• Marsigli C., Montani, A., Nerozzi, F., & Paccagnella, T., Tibaldi, S, Molteni, F., Buizza, R., 2001. A strategy for high-resolution ensemble prediction. Part II: limited-area experiments in four Alpine flood events. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 338, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 22.

• Molteni F., Buizza, R., Marsigli, C., Montani, A., Nerozzi, F., & Paccagnella, T., 2001. A strategy for high-resolution ensemble prediction. Part I: definition of representative members and global-model experiments. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 337, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 29.

• Gilmour, I., Smith, L. A., & Buizza, R., 2001: On the duration of the linear regime: is 24 hours a long time in weather forecasting? ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 328, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 20.

• Palmer, T. N., Brankovic, C., Buizza, R., Chessa, P., Ferranti, L., Hoskins, B. J., & Simmons, A. J., 2000: A review of predictability and ECMWF forecast performance, with emphasis on Europe. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 326, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 46.

• Buizza, R., 2000: Forecasting system performance in summer 1999: Part 3 – EPS. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 323, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 29.

• Taylor, J. W., & Buizza, R., 2000: Using weather ensemble predictions in electricity demand forecasting. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 312, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 23.

• Mullen, S., & Buizza, R., 2000: Quantitative precipitation forecasts over the United States by the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 307, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 50.

• Barkmeijer, J., Buizza, R., Palmer, T. N., Puri, K., & Mahfouf, J.-F., 1999: Tropical singular vectors computed with linearized diabatic physics. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 297, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 29.

• Buizza, R., & Montani, A., 1999: Targeting observations using singular vectors. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 286, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 39.

• Buizza, R., Barkmeijer, J., Palmer, T. N., & Richardson, D., 1999: Current Status and Future Developments of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 280, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 28.

• Buizza, R., Miller, M., & Palmer, T. N., 1999: Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 279, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 26.

• Buizza, R., & Hollingsworth, A., 1998: Probability precipitation prediction using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 248, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 30.

• Buizza, R., & Palmer, T. N., 1998: Impact of ensemble size on the skill and the potential skill of an ensemble prediction system. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 246, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 32.

• Buizza, R., Petroliagis, T., Palmer, T. N., Barkmeijer, J., Hamrud, M., Hollingsworth, A., Simmons, A., & Wedi, N, 1998: Impact of model resolution and ensemble size on the performance of an ensemble prediction system. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 245, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 31.

• Petroliagis, T., Buizza, R., Lanzinger, A., & Palmer, T. N., 1996: Extreme rainfall prediction using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 227, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 43.

• Buizza, R., Gelaro, R., Molteni, F., & Palmer, T. N., 1995: Predictability studies with high-resolution singular vectors. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 219, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 38.

• Buizza, R., & Palmer, T. N., 1995: The singular-vector structure of the atmospheric general circulation. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 208, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 47.

• Buizza, R., 1994: Linearity of optimal perturbation time evolution and sensitivity of ensemble forecasts to perturbation amplitude. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 205, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 42.

• Molteni, F., Buizza, R., Palmer, T. N., & Petroliagis, T., 1994: The ECMWF ensemble prediction system: methodology and validation. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 202, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 55.

• Buizza, R., 1993. Computation of optimal perturbations using a local projection operator: a winter case study. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 196, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 35.

• Buizza, R., 1993: Impact of a simple vertical diffusion scheme and of the optimisation time interval on optimal unstable structures. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 192, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 25.

• Buizza, R., 1992: Unstable perturbations computed using the adjoint technique. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 189, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 17.

• Palmer, T. N., Molteni, F., Mureau, R., Buizza, R., Chapelet, P., & Tribbia, J., 1992: Ensemble prediction. ECMWF Research Department Technical Memorandum n. 188, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pp. 43.

• Miller, M., Buizza, R., Haseler, J., Hortal, M., Janssen, P., Untch, A., 2010: Increased resolution in the ECMWF deterministic and ensemble prediction systems. Newsletter n. 124, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 10-16.

• Buizza, R., Leutbecher, M., Isaksen, L., & Haseler, J., 2010: Combined use of EDA- and SV-based perturbations in the EPS. Newsletter n. 123, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 22-28.

• Isaksen, L., Haseler, J., Buizza, R., & Leutbecher, M., 2010: The new Ensemble of Data Assimilation. Newsletter n. 123, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 17-21.

• Cloke, H., Thielen, J., Pappenberger, F., Nobert, S., Bálint, G., Edlund, C., Koistinen, A., de Saint-Aubin, C., Sprokkereef, E., Viel, C., Salamon, P., & Buizza, R., 2009: Progress in the implementation of Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems (HEPS) in Europe for operational flood forecasting. Newsletter n. 121, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 21-25.

• Buizza, R., Pappenberger, F., Thielen, J., Salomon, P., & de Roo, A., 2009: EPS/EFAS probabilistic flood prediction over Northern Italy: the case of the 30th of April 2009. Newsletter n. 120, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 10-16.

• Buizza, R., Park, Y.-Y., Leutbecher, M., & Pappenberger, F., 2008: Predictability studies using TIGGE data. Newsletter n. 116, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 16-20.

• Vitart, F., Bonet, A., Balmaseda, M., Balsamo, G., Bidlot, J.-F., Buizza, R., Fuentes, M., Hofstadler, A., Molteni, F., & Palmer , T. N., 2008: Merging VAREPS with the monthly forecasting system: a first step towards seamless prediction. Newsletter n. 115, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 35-44.

• Buizza, R., Hagedorn, R., Molteni, F., & Palmer, T., N., 2008: Ensemble Prediction Workshop, 7-9 November 2007, ECMWF. Newsletter n. 114, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 5-6.

• Palmer, T., & Buizza, R., 2008 : Fifteenth anniversary of EPS. ECMWF. Newsletter n. 114, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 14.

• Buizza, R., Cardinali, C., Kelly, G., & Thepaut, J.-N., 2007: The value of targeted observations. Newsletter n. 111, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 11-20.

• Untch, A., Miller, M., Hortal, M., Buizza, R., and Janssen P., 2006: Towards a global meso-scale model: the high-resolution system TL799L91 & TL399L62 EPS. Newsletter n. 108, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 6-13.

• Buizza, R., Bidlot, J.-R., Wedi, N., Fuentes, M., Hamrud, M., Holt, G., Palmer, T., & Vitart, F., 2006: The ECMWF Variable Resolution Ensemble Prediction System (VAREPS). Newsletter n. 108, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 14-20.

• Palmer, T., Buizza, R., Hagedorn, R., Lawrence, A., Leutbecher, M., & Smith, L., 2006: Ensemble prediction: a pedagogical perspective. Newsletter n. 106, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 10-17.

• Buizza, R., 2005: EPS skill improvements between 1994 and 2005. ECMWF Newsletter n. 104, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 10-14.

• Buizza, R., 2002: Trends in ensemble performance. ECMWF Newsletter n. 94, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 2-5.

• Buizza, R., 2001: Weather risk management with the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Newsletter n. 92, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, pg 7-12.

• Buizza, R., Richardson, D., & Palmer, T. N., 2001: The new 80-km high-resolution ECMWF EPS. ECMWF Newsletter n. 90, 2-9, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK.

• Buizza, R., & Hollingsworth, A., 2001: Severe weather prediction using the ECMWF EPS: the European storms of December 1999. ECMWF Newsletter n. 89, 2-12, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK.

• Palmer, T. N., Barkmeijer, J., Buizza, R., & Klinker, E., 2000: The future of ensemble prediction. ECMWF Newsletter n. 88, 2-8, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK.

• Jakob, C., Andersson, E., Beljaars, A., Buizza, R., Fisher, M., Gerard, E., Ghelli, A., Janssen, P., Kelly, G., McNally, A. P., Miller, M., Simmons, A., Teixeira, J., & Viterbo, P., 2000: The IFS cycle CY21r4 made operational in October 1999. ECMWF Newsletter n. 87, 2-9, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK.

• Petroliagis, T., Buizza, R., Lanzinger, A., & Palmer, T. N., 1996: Extreme rainfall prediction using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. ECMWF Newsletter n. 73, 17-24, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK.

• Mahfouf, J.-F., & Buizza, R., 1996: On the inclusion of physical processes in linear forward and adjoint models. I: impact of large-scale condensation on singular vectors. ECMWF Newsletter n. 72, 2-6, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, 26pp.