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Home > Services > Dissemination > 3.1 > Meteorological Bulletin M3.1 > Seasonal Forecasting System 3 > 
 Description of System 3  Seasonal forecast dissemination products  
   

Re-forecasts and pre-operational data

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Description of System 3
Re-forecasts and pre-operational data
Seasonal forecast dissemination products
Seasonal Forecasting System 3 dissemination requirements
Seasonal forecast monthly means and monthly mean anomaly dissemination products
GRIB section 1 definition for Seasonal Forecast System 3 data
Transmission of Seasonal Forecasting System products
 
 

Production of the re-forecasts is now complete and covers the period January 1981 to December 2005. The re-forecasts have also been created for January to August 2006 to bridge the gap to the start of the real-time forecasts.

 

Pre-operational real-time forecast data has been generated since September 2006. The pre-operational system runs a few days behind the operational schedule, and we aim to make the data available by the 20th of each month at the latest. Pre-operational data is now available via the dissemination system. Note that pre-operational data is not intended for operational use, but is to enable users to configure and test their processing and application software.

 

For the March 2007 forecast, we expect to change the status of Systems 2 and 3 such that System 3 becomes the operational forecast system. When this change occurs, MARS access to the data from Systems 2 and 3 will remain unchanged. However, System 3 will be the official ECMWF forecast, and will be produced on the operational schedule (release on the 15th, 12 UTC). System 3 data will be disseminated as EXPVER=0001, and dissemination of System 2 data will cease. ECMWF derived products, such as the web plots and the multi-model combinations, will all be based on the operational forecast system only.

 

We intend to continue to run System 2 for another 3 months in a post-operational mode, whereby the data will become available in MARS some days behind the operational schedule. This is to ease the transition process for non-operational users who need more time to adjust their experimental applications to the new data. However, such users are cautioned that the post-operational system will have a reduced level of support, and the availability of System 2 data is not guaranteed. Data from the old system will not be available via dissemination or the GTS. Experimental applications should be migrated to System 3 as soon as practicable. Operational applications should only ever use the operational system.




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