IFS Documentation front page

I Observations
II Assimilation
III Dynamics
IV Physics
V Ensemble
VI Technical
VII Waves

Part V: The ensemble prediction system

REFERENCES

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Barkmeijer J., Buizza, R., Palmer T. N., Puri, K. and Mahfouf, J.-F. 2001: Tropical singular vectors computed with linearized diabatic physics. Quart. .J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.,127, 685-708.

Buizza, R. and T.N. Palmer, 1995: The singular vector structure of the atmosphere global circulation. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 1434-1456.

Buizza, R., Petroliagis, T., Palmer, T. N., Barkmeijer, J., Hamrud, M., Hollingsworth, A., Simmons, A. and Wedi, N., 1998: Impact of model resolution and ensemble size on the performance of an ensemble prediction system. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.,124, 1935-1960.

Buizza, R., Barkmeijer, J., Palmer, T. N., Richardson, D. S.., 1999: Current status and future developments of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Meteorol. Appl.,6, 1-14.

Buizza, R., Miller, M. and Palmer T. N. 1999: Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Quart. .J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.,125, 2887-2908.

Buizza, R., Richardson, D. S.. and Palmer T. N. 2002: Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor-man's ensembles. ECMWF Tech. Memo 389.

Ehrendorfer, M. and Tribbia, J. J., 1997: Optimal prediction of forecast error covariances through singular vectors. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 286-313.

Gelaro, R., Buizza, R., Palmer, T. N. and Klinker, E., 1998: Sensitivity analysis of forecast errors and the construction of optimal perturbations using singular vectors. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 1012-1037.

Golub, G. H., and van Loan, C. F., 1983: Matrix computation. North Oxford Academic Publ. Co. Ltd., pp 476.

Molteni, F., Buizza, R. , Palmer, T. N. and Petroliagis, T., 1996: The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System: methodology and validation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 122, 73-119.

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Palmer, R.N., Gelaro, R., Barkmeijer, J. and Buizza, R., 1998: Singular vectors, metrics and adaptive observations. J. Atmos. Sci. 55, 633-653.

Palmer, T.N., Molteni, F., Mureau, R. Buizza, R., Chapelet, P. and Tribbia, J., 1993: `Ensemble Prediction'. Proceedings of the ECMWF Seminar on Validation of models over Europe: Vol 1, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2 9AX, UK.

Puri, K., Barkmeijer J. and Palmer T. N. 2001: Ensemble prediction of tropical cyclones using targeted diabatic singular vectors. Quart. .J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.,127, 709-734.

Rabier, F., Klinker, E., Courtier, P. and Hollingsworth, A., 1996: Sensitivity of forecast errors to initial conditions. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 122, 121-150.

Simon, H. D., 1984: The Lanczos algorithm with partial re-orthogonalization. Math. Comp., 42, 165, 115-142.

Sleijpen, G. L. G., and van der Vorst, H. A., 1996: A Jacobi - Davidson iteration method for linear eigenvalue problems. SIAM J. Matrix Anal. Appl., 17, 401 - 425

Trevisan, A, Pancotti, F. and Molteni, F., 2001: Ensemble prediction in a model with flow regimes. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 127, 343-358.