Presentations held at the joint ENSEMBLES/WCRP meeting
on
seasonal and interannual prediction
7-8 June 2007 Barcelona
Global s2d ENSEMBLES forecast systems
Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF):
Assessment of forecast quality using the ENSEMBLES multi-model and stochastic physics seasonal and decadal predictions
Michel Déqué (MeteoFrance) :
Initialisation of the atmosphere in ENSEMBLES seasonal forecasts: ERA-40 nudging versus ERA-40 anomaly nudging
Noel Keenlyside (IfM Kiel - GEOMAR) :
Forecasting North Atlantic decadal variability and its impacts
Doug Smith (METO-HC) :
Assessment of stream 1 s2d ensemble hindcasts using perturbed physics and initial condition ensembles of the DePreSys system
Andrea Alessandri (INGV):
Seasonal predictions at INGV-CMCC: sensitivity to improvements in ocean initial conditions
Philippe Rogel (CERFACS):
Multi-decadal ensembles of ocean reanalyses and decadal hindcast ensembles for the ENSEMBLES project
Alberto Arribas (METO-HC):
Met Office stream 2 simulations
Other global s2d forecast systems
Caio Coelho (CPTEC):
EUROBRISA: A Euro-Brazilian initiative for improving South American seasonal forecasts
Debbie Hudson (BoM):
A new atmosphere-land initialisation (ALI) scheme for POAMA, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's seasonal forecast system
Augustin Vintzileos (NCEP):
Subseasonal-to-seasonal dynamical forecast at NCEP
ENSEMBLES/AMMA
Paolo Ruti (ENEA):
The West African Monsoon: a useful test for seasonal and decadal predictions
Towards decadal forecast systems
Holger Pohlmann (MPI-M):
Initialisation of a global climate model with ocean reanalysis
Alberto Troccoli (ECMWF):
Ensemble decadal predictions from analysed initial conditions
Skill assessment and processes
Prince Xavier (LMD):
Evaluation of summer monsoonl intraseasonal variability and predictability in the DEMETER hindcasts
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh (KNMI):
On the recent extreme seasons and the inability of current climate models to simulate these
Andreas Weigel (MeteoSwiss):
Can multi-model really enhance the seasonal predictions?
Reinhard Schiemann (ETHZ):
On the relationship between the Indian summer monsoon and river flow in the Aral Sea basin
Downscaling
Bartolomé Orfila (INM):
Downscaling of seasonal forecasts in DEMETER and ENSEMBLES projects and in System 2 and System 3 of the ECMWF
Dolores Frías (Univ. of Cantabria):
Seasonal predictability over the Iberian Peninsula associated with ENSO events
Applications
Angel Utset (ITACyL):
Introducing climate and crop-growth modelling tools to provide climate-risk mitigation options to European agriculture: The role of local researchers, seasonal forecasts and demonstration proposals