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The information presented on data quality is based on
differences between observations and the values of the most recent
ECMWF forecast ("first guess") of the same parameter. Depending on
the time of the observation, the forecast range is between 9 and 15
hours. The ability of a modern data assimilation system to provide
the diagnostic facilities to monitor the performance of the
observational network is demonstrated by A. Hollingsworth et. al.,
Monthly Weather Review, Vol 114, No. 5, May 1986.
It should be noted that:
| (i) |
all results are based on software that may undergo further
development; |
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| (ii) |
although the quality of the ECMWF first-guess fields is of a
generally |
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high standard this is only true to a limited extent in the
tropics, |
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where small-scale processes such as convection are of much
greater |
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importance than in mid-latitudes, and the observations will
sometimes |
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not be representative of the scales of motion given by the
first-guess; |
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| (iii) |
the first-guess fields themselves will vary in accuracy
depending on the |
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density and quality of data, particularly in the upstream
regions and |
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over Antarctica and the southern hemisphere mid-latitudes.
Direct |
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comparisons between stations (or airlines) should preferably be
restricted |
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to observations in a reasonably homogeneous climatic
region. |
Tables 1-9 contain lists of SHIPs (including fixed marine
platforms), DRIFTERs, TEMPs and TEMPs/PILOTs believed to have
supplied suspect reports of surface pressure, geopotential height
or wind during the month. The format of the tables is according to
Recommendation 3 CBS-Ext(85) and the criteria for stations or data
platforms to be classified as suspect are given at the top of each
table. For tables 7 and 8 data for the worst standard pressure
level are shown. Units of RMS, standard deviation and bias are hPa
in tables 1 and 4, m in table 7 and ms-1 in tables 2, 5
and 8. In tables 7 and 8 the station position is indicated; in the
case of TEMPSHIPs and PILOTSHIPs this position is obtained from the
first report of the month. The gross error limits for first-guess
deviations of geopotential in table 7 are as follows:
|
| Level |
Geop |
|
|
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| 1000 |
100m |
| 925 |
100m |
| 850 |
100m |
| 700 |
100m |
| 500 |
150m |
| 400 |
175m |
| 300 |
200m |
| 250 |
225m |
| 200 |
250m |
| 150 |
275m |
| 100 |
300m |
| 70 |
375m |
| 50 |
400m |
| 30 |
450m |
|
|
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The corresponding limits for wind (table 8) are:
|
| Level |
Wind |
|
|
|
| 1000 |
35ms-1 |
| 925 |
35ms-1 |
| 850 |
35ms-1 |
| 700 |
40ms-1 |
| 500 |
45ms-1 |
| 400 |
50ms-1 |
| 300 |
60ms-1 |
| 250 |
60ms-1 |
| 200 |
50ms-1 |
| 150 |
50ms-1 |
| 100 |
45ms-1 |
|
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In table 7 the weighted RMS values at standard levels are
calculated using the following weights:
|
| Level |
Weight |
|
|
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| 1000 |
3.70 |
| 925 |
3.55 |
| 850 |
3.40 |
| 700 |
2.90 |
| 500 |
2.20 |
| 400 |
1.90 |
| 300 |
1.60 |
| 250 |
1.50 |
| 200 |
1.37 |
| 150 |
1.19 |
| 100 |
1.00 |
| 70 |
0.87 |
| 50 |
0.80 |
| 30 |
0.64 |
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Tables 10 and 11 provide geopotential and wind quality statistics
(100 hPa level) for TEMPSHIPs and PILOTSHIPs received during the
month. Units and display format are identical to those in tables 7
and 8 respectively. Tables 13, 14 (50 hPa), 15 and 16 (100 hPa), 17
and 18 (500hPa), 19 and 20 (850hPa) provide similar radiosonde
statistics for the EUCOS area.
Tables 21-23 are similar to tables 4-6 with data coverage
restricted to the EUCOS area.
Figures 14-18 show global charts of SATOB and aircraft wind
quality, where the statistics have been averaged over
latitude/longitude boxes of 5 degrees square, and the mean observed
minus first-guess (or 'bias') wind vectors have been plotted. All
observations in the specified layers have been used. For comparison
the mean observed wind (from the SATOB reports only) for each layer
is shown in figures 14 and 15. A reference value of wind speed is
plotted in the top right corner of each figure. An arrow is only
plotted if 10 or more observations have been received in that 5
degree square.
Table 12 provides quality statistics of aircraft wind
observations in the layer 300-150 hPa stratified by airline
carrier. The format and specifications of the table have been
defined by NMC Washington, the lead centre for the monitoring of
aircraft and satellite data.
Summary of Revisions (in reverse order)
Revision 23 (Dec 00) - Coverage charts for Noaa_14 MSU replaced by
ATOVS AMSU-A for Noaa_16
Revision 22 (Aug 99) - Coverage charts for TOVS thickness 300-100
hPa replaced by (A)TOVS AMSU-A and MSU
(Noaa_15 and Noaa_14)
Revision 21 (May 99) - Monitoring statistics ceased for Noaa_11 as
satellite is no more available.
Revision 20 (Sep 98) - Changes to tables and annex to remove all
mention about data usage. Two more levels
(50 and 850 hPa) added to the COSNA statistics
for Sondes.
Revision 19 (Jul 98) - From June 29th, 1998 ECMWF model assimilates
temperature data instead of geopotential from
radiosondes. As a consequence the number of
used geopotential data drops to zero in tables
7, 10, 13 and 15.
Revision 18 (Apr 98) - Changes to tables and annex to introduce the
usage of accepted numbers and observations
instead of precentage of rejection.
METOPS-ECMWF
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