Derived products from the EPS

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Introduction

The ECMWF forecasting and assimilation system

The Ensemble Prediction System (EPS)

Recommendations on categorical and probabilistic medium-range forecasting

Derived products from the EPS

Epilogue: how to increase the public’s trust in medium-range weather forecasts

Appendix A Some statistical concepts to facilitate the use and interpretation of deterministic medium-range forecasts

Appendix B Some statistical concepts to facilitate the use and interpretation of ensemble forecasts

References and further literature

A wide range of products is specially derived from the EPS: the EM and spread charts, EPS meteograms, the Extreme Forecast Index, tropical storm charts, clusters and cyclone charts.

08-02-2012