The aim of the meeting is to coordinate the work within work package 4 (Drought forecasting). In addition it aims to coordinate knowledge exchange between WP4 and the case study leaders of WP6.
4th October Tuesday |
| 10:00 – 10:30 |
Arrival and Coffee |
| WP4 Presentations (meeting room 1) |
| 10:30 – 10:50 |
Meteorological drought forecasting (monthly to seasonal forecasting) at regional and continental scale Report and Data (Willem A. Landman, CSIR, South Africa). |
| 10:50 – 11:10 |
Meteorological drought forecasting (monthly to seasonal forecasting) at regional and continental scale Report and Data (Emanuel, Florian, Fredrik, ECMWF) |
| 11:10 – 11:30 |
Available continental scale hydrological models and their suitability for African drought forecasting (Maskey/Trambauer, UNESCO-IHE) |
| 11:30 – 11:50 |
Project outline: statistical analysis and forecasting of drought. (Mathias Seibert, GFZ) |
| 12:00 – 13:30 |
LUNCH |
| WP6 Presentations (meeting room 1) |
| 13:30 – 13:50 |
Oumr Rbia Case Study (Alaoui Si Bennasser, IAV, Morocco) |
| 13:50 – 14:10 |
The Niger case Study (Samuel Fournet, PIK, Germany) |
| 14:10 – 14:30 |
The Nile case study (Mohamed Ahmed Ali, MWRI-NFC-NBCBN, Egypt) |
| 14:30 – 14:50 |
Skill assessment of remote sensed and reanalysis rainfall for drought observation in the Zambezi (Hessel Winsemius, Deltares, Netherlands) |
| 14:50 – 15:10 |
The Limpopo case study (David Love, WaterNet, Botswana) |
| 15:10 – 15:30 |
Coffee Break |
| 15:30 – 17:30 |
Break out groups (groups discussion on WP4 outputs which are useful for case studies, interlink between WP4/WP6, ect...) Meeting room 1 and meeting room 3 |
| 19:30 |
Dinner |
5th October Wednesday |
| 09:00 – 10:00 |
WP6 participants: Tour of the super computer hall and Meteorological forecasting room |
| 09:00 – 10:00 |
WP4 participants: WP Business (meeting room 1) |
| 10:00 – 10:30 |
Summary of Break out groups of day 1, final conclusions |
| 10:30 – 11:00 |
Coffee Break |
| Special section on the current drought at the horn of Africa (this will be open to all ECMWF staff and other partners in the vicinity of Reading) Lecture Theatre |
| 11:00 – 11:15 |
Drought and rainfall variability in southern Africa: livelihood impacts and network responses. David Love (WaterNet, Botswana) |
 |
| 11:15 – 11:30 |
The connections of Pacific SST and drought over East Africa
(Modathir Zaroug DCER, Sudan) |
|
| 11:30 – 11:45 |
Forecasting drought conditions (meteorology) – a case study on the horn of Africa (Emanuel, Florian, Fredrik, ECMWF) |
|
| 11:45 – 12:00 |
Monitoring drought with meteorological and remote sensing data – a case study on the horn of Africa (Gustavo, Paulo, Jurgen, JRC) |
|
| 12:00 – 12:15 |
Generalized mapping-based precipitation calibration methodology for impacts modelling: a special look at the African regions (Francesca ECMWF) |
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