ECMWF 2010 Annual Seminar - Presentations

Monday 6 September 2010

Session 1: Dynamical understanding of weather and climate variability over Europe

Brian Hoskins
(Reading Univ.)

Theories of low-frequency variability over Europe

Heini Wernli
(ETH Zurich)

North Atlantic wave guide

Christophe Cassou
(CNRS Toulouse)

Euro-Atlantic regimes and their tele-connections

Andrea Buzzi
(ISAC Bologna)

Synoptic-scale variability in the Mediterranean

Rowan Sutton
(NCAS Reading)

Variability of the Meridional Overturning Circulation in the Atlantic

Martin Visbeck
(IFM-GEOMAR)

Gyre variability and tropical modes in the Atlantic

Tuesday 7 September 2010

Session 2: Predictability and actual predictive skill of operational systems from daily to seasonal scales

Lizzie Froude
(ESSC Univ Reading)

Predictability of extratropical cyclones in the North Atlantic/European regions

Jan Polcher
(IPSL/CNRS France)

Modelling and predictability of weather systems in West Africa : lessons learnt from AMMA

Renate Hagedorn
(ECMWF)

The TIGGE experience: Does the multi-model concept work for medium-range weather forecasts?

Huug van den Dool
(NCEP)

Use of re-analyses and re-forecasts for the calibration of long-range predictions

Francisco Doblas-Reyes
(IC3 Barcelona)

Seasonal prediction over Europe

Hai Lin
(Environment Canada)

Predictability and prediction of the Arctic and North Atlantic Oscillation

Wednesday 8 September 2010

Session 3: Influence of ocean/land-surface/stratospheric conditions on Europe

Pedro Viterbo
(Inst Meteorologia, Portugal)

Influence of land surface variability over Europe

Adam Scaife
(UKMO)

Impact of ENSO over Europe

Alessandra Giannini
(IRI, Palisades, NY)

Impact of sea surface temperatures on African climate

Frédéric Vitart
(ECMWF)

Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its impact on the European weather in the ECMWF monthly forecasts

Heiner Körnich
(Univ of Stockholm)

Predictability of the coupled troposphere-stratosphere system

Peter Lemke (Alfred Wegener Institute, Bremerhaven)

Variability of Arctic sea-ice and its influence

Thursday 9 September 2010

Session 4: Looking ahead: areas of possible/expected progress

Olivier Nuissier
(CNRM/GAME France)

Convective-scale and short-range predictability of high-impact weather events

Joe Tribbia
(NCAR)

The future of predictability- can decadal prediction be informative?

Wilco Hazeleger
(KNMI)

Beyond the seasonal timescale

Kiyotoshi Takahashi
(JMA)

Re-analyses as predictability tools

Myles Allen
(Univ Oxford)

Attribution of individual weather events to external drivers of climate change

Tim Palmer
(ECMWF)

A grand challenge for weather and climate prediction: towards the fully probabilistic Earth-System Model