ECMWF 2010 Annual Seminar

Seminar on Predictability in the European and Atlantic regions from days to years, 6 - 9 September 2010

• Revised Programme Note: Programme change for 9 Sept p.m.
• Registration - closed
• Useful links

• Lecturers and Participants
• Presentations
• Proceedings

Every year ECMWF organizes a seminar with a pedagogical objective, whereby a selected topic related to numerical weather prediction is highlighted. The subject of the seminar in 2010 was Predictability in the European and Atlantic regions from days to years, held from 6 to 9 September 2010.

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The Atlantic-European region is recognized as a part of the world where the natural, internal variability of the atmosphere tends to dominate over boundary-forced signals. Despite the noticeable improvements of NWP models in predicting phemomena such as Mediterranean storms and European blocking, the prediction of some extreme manifestations of these events remains challenging. Furthermore, extended-range and seasonal forecasts for this region remain a very difficult task. Although this can be partially attributed to an intrinsic limit in predictability, there is increasing evidence of the potential arising from a better simulation of phenomena such as MJO teleconnections, stratosphere-troposphere interactions and sea-ice variability. This potential might be realized through improved physical parameterizations that would also take into account their inherent uncertainty. On the longer time scale, skilful simulations of teleconnections with tropical Atlantic SST may be achieved by a better representation of tropical Atlantic Ocean variability in coupled models.

The seminar will review recent progress in predicting Euro-Atlantic variability on a variety of scales, with emphasis on the links between different regions and various components of the weather/climate system.

Programme

Participants are requested to arrive at ECMWF between 08.30-09.15 on Monday 6 September for registration. The seminar will close at 17:45 on Thursday 9 September.

Timetable (May 2010)

Attendance

The seminar is open to the ECMWF Member States and Co-operating States. There is no registration fee and no financial support is available for participants.

Young European scientists can apply for a travel award from the European Meteorological Society. For details see this announcement.

Applications from non-Member States can be accepted if places are available following the deadline for Member State applications. For non-Member States a registration fee is charged. Please contact ECMWF for details.

Unfortunately registration is now closed as we have reached a maximum number of applications we can accept.

Further information: seminars@ecmwf.int

Useful information on ECMWF web site:

• http://www.ecmwf.int/about/location/
• http://www.ecmwf.int/about/location/hoteldetails.html
• http://www.ecmwf.int/newsevents/meetings/